Article:Shannon, R and Nelson, A orcid.org/0000-0001-6741-3078 (2017) A single-arm trial indirect comparison investigation: a proof-of-concept method to predict venous leg ulcer healing time for a new acellular synthetic matrix matched to standard care control. International Wound Journal, 14 (4
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TakedownIf you consider content in White Rose Research Online to be in breach of UK law, please notify us by emailing eprints@whiterose.ac.uk including the URL of the record and the reason for the withdrawal request. Keywords: wound healing; non-healing leg ulcer; acellular synthetic matrix; predictive analytics; propensity score; venous ulcers; evidence network; VenUS I study, VenUS II study, VenUS III study, VenUS IV study 2
Abstract:PURPOSE: To compare data on time to healing from two separate cohorts: one treated with a new acellular synthetic matrix plus standard care and one matched from four large UK pragmatic, randomized controlled trials (venous leg ulcer evidence network). We introduce a new proof of concept strategy to a venous leg ulcer clinical evidence network, propensity score matching and sensitivity analysis to predict the feasibility of the new acellular synthetic matrix plus standard care for success in future randomized, controlled clinical trials.
SUBJECTS AND METHODS:Prospective data on chronic, venous leg ulcers from a safety and effectiveness study on an acellular synthetic matrix conducted in one wound center in the UK (17 patients) and three wound centers in Australia (36 patients) were compared retrospectively to propensity score matched data from patients with comparable leg ulcer disease etiology, age, baseline ulcer area, ulcer duration, multilayer compression bandaging and majority of care completed in specialist wound centers (avg. 1 visit per week) with the outcome measures at comparable follow-up periods, from patients enrolled in four prospective, multicenter, pragmatic, randomized studies of venous ulcers in the United Kingdom (the comparison group; venous leg ulcer evidence network).
RESULTS:
CONCLUSIONS:Results from this study predict a significant effect on healing time when using a new ASM as an adjunct to standard care in the treatment of non-healing venous ulcers in the UK, but results are sensitive to unobserved covariates that may be important in healing time comparison.