Effectiveness of social distancing interventions in containing COVID-19 incidence: International evidence using Kalman filter

Prakash, Navendu; Srivastava, Bhavya; Singh, Shveta; Sharma, Seema; Jain, Sonali

doi:10.1016/j.ehb.2021.101091

Cited by 24 publications

(16 citation statements)

References 40 publications

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“…It can be even more true for many countries, including South Korea, which had not enforced strong domestic movement restrictions. While containing the spread of COVID-19, some countries such as Sweden and South Korea did not implement lockdown measures to sustain economic activity ( Prakash et al, 2022 ; Zaki et al, 2022 ). Nevertheless, most studies have focused on changes in travel behavior during the pandemic.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Among them are factors closely related to local, regional, and international human mobility ( Matthew and McDonald, 2006 ; Sung, 2020 ). Therefore, control measures that limit human mobility are important to suppress the spread of infectious diseases ( Bajardi et al, 2011 ; Prakash et al, 2022 ; Summan and Nandi, 2022 ; Zaki et al, 2022 ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Impact of pre-pandemic travel mobility patterns on the spatial diffusion of COVID-19 in South Korea

Jo¹,

Sung²

2022

Journal of Transport & Health

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of pre-pandemic travel mobility patterns on the spatial diffusion of COVID-19 in South Korea

Jo¹,

Sung²

2022

Journal of Transport & Health

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“…In their initial response to the COVID-19 pandemic, many countries imposed strict restrictions on social interactions—especially those within schools and workplaces [ 14 ]—with the goal of limiting disease spread through the mass fragmentation of societal contact networks [ 15 ]. While such efforts have, in general, been found to be effective, both historically [ 16 ] and in the current pandemic [ 17 , 18 ], they are nevertheless a blunt intervention. More restrained approaches, such as test-trace-quarantine can be more surgical in their application, but their efficacy tends to be limited by insufficient participation and high costs when cases are surging [ 4 , 19 , 20 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The illusion of personal health decisions for infectious disease management: disease spread in social contact networks

et al. 2023

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Close contacts between individuals provide opportunities for the transmission of diseases, including COVID-19. While individuals take part in many different types of interactions, including those with classmates, co-workers and household members, it is the conglomeration of all of these interactions that produces the complex social contact network interconnecting individuals across the population. Thus, while an individual might decide their own risk tolerance in response to a threat of infection, the consequences of such decisions are rarely so confined, propagating far beyond any one person. We assess the effect of different population-level risk-tolerance regimes, population structure in the form of age and household-size distributions, and different interaction types on epidemic spread in plausible human contact networks to gain insight into how contact network structure affects pathogen spread through a population. In particular, we find that behavioural changes by vulnerable individuals in isolation are insufficient to reduce those individuals’ infection risk and that population structure can have varied and counteracting effects on epidemic outcomes. The relative impact of each interaction type was contingent on assumptions underlying contact network construction, stressing the importance of empirical validation. Taken together, these results promote a nuanced understanding of disease spread on contact networks, with implications for public health strategies.

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“…Several other countries have enacted similar legislation, though the severity varies. Moreover, some countries have relaxed social distancing measures when cases are at their lowest (Prakash, Srivastava, Singh, Sharma, & Jain, 2022).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Determinants of Transmission Covid-19 in South Sulawesi

Masriadi

Mahmud

Javid

et al. 2022

JBE

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Background: Corona Virus (COVID-19) is a new respiratory viral infectious disease that can cause illnesses ranging from the common cold to severe acute respiratory syndrome. Subsequently, as of May 31, 2022, the government of South Sulawesi reported 143,276 confirmed cases, 2,463 deaths, and 140,395 recovered patients. Purpose: To analyze the impact of behavior, travel history, and comorbidities on the incidence of COVID-19 in South Sulawesi. Methods: This is observational research with a cross-sectional study design and was conducted from January–April 2022 in 7 districts of South Sulawesi Province. A population of 650 respondents with a total sample of 161 patients confirmed positive and 189 suspected of having COVID-19. The Chi-square test and multiple logistic regression were used to analyze the data. Results: There was a relationship between travel history (p0.00; OR 2.19), knowledge (p0.03; OR 1.74), and actions (p0.00; OR 0.18) on the incidence of COVID-19. Additionally, no relationship was reported between comorbidities (p0.85), attitudes (p0.90), and level of knowledge (p0.08>(0.05) on the incidence of COVID-19. The most influential variable in the rapid spread was travel history, with an exp(B) value of 2.19 CI (95%) (LL=1.26; UL=3.80). Conclusion: The results showed that travel history, knowledge, and actions made a major contribution to the spread of COVID-19 in South Sulawesi Province.

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Effectiveness of social distancing interventions in containing COVID-19 incidence: International evidence using Kalman filter

Cited by 24 publications

References 40 publications

Impact of pre-pandemic travel mobility patterns on the spatial diffusion of COVID-19 in South Korea

Impact of pre-pandemic travel mobility patterns on the spatial diffusion of COVID-19 in South Korea

The illusion of personal health decisions for infectious disease management: disease spread in social contact networks

Determinants of Transmission Covid-19 in South Sulawesi

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