Effects of Budget Expenditures on Education and Youth Policy on Decreasing the Level of Delinquent Behavior of Adolescents

Abstract

One of the national development goals relates to realizing human potential and educating a socially responsible person, which, among other things, requires strengthening the state's role in preventing crimes, primarily among adolescents. In this regard, there is a need to quantify the impact of social spending budgets on the level of juvenile delinquency. The article substantiates a methodological approach to assessing the effects of expenditures on secondary vocational education and youth policy on the number of minors convicted of various crimes. In the study, the authors evaluated regression based on a fixed-effects model with the standard errors Driscoll – Kraay. Econometric modelling was based on panel data on 83 subjects of the Russian Federation for the period 2010–2020. The statistical data of the official websites of the Federal State Statistics Service, the Federal Treasury and the Prosecutor General's Office of the Russian Federation served as the information base of the study. Based on the simulation results, conclusions were drawn about the positive impact of increasing budget expenditures on secondary vocational education and youth policy, as a share of GRP, on reducing juvenile delinquency. The influence of control variables (income level, divorce rate, urbanization, general crime, etc.) was also confirmed. For the first time, the results obtained on Russian data significantly complement the conclusions of foreign econometric studies on similar issues