Effects of climate change in the seas of China: Predicted changes in the distribution of fish species and diversity

Hu, Wenjia; Du, Jianguo; Su, Shangke; Tan, Hongjian; Yang, Wen; Ding, Like; Dong, Peng; Wang, Yu; Zheng, Xinqing; Chen, Bin

doi:10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.108489

Cited by 50 publications

(14 citation statements)

References 72 publications

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“…Wang et al (2020) demonstrated that a warming trend drives an increase in the growth coefficient (k) and decreases in L ∞ over time, and increasing SST may partly explain the differences between the k and L ∞ estimates presented herein and those reported by Stewart et al (2013). Climate-driven increases in SST have been shown to cause poleward shifts in species distributions (Champion et al, 2021;Hu et al, 2022) and anecdotal reports suggest pearl perch have been caught by recreational fishers as far south as Montague Island in southern New South Wales (36 • 15′S) in recent years. This poleward shift is a result of the EAC strengthening and penetrating further south (Ridgway, 2007) and these changes are likely to influence the dispersal of pearl perch larvae.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Improving estimates of growth for pearl perch (Glaucosoma scapulare) in Queensland, Australia

Campbell

McLennan

Nicolson

et al. 2022

Aquaculture Fish & Fisheries

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The pearl perch (Glaucosoma scapulare) is endemic to the east coast of Australia in depths to 150 m. The species has a long history of exploitation, and the stock is currently depleted. Previous research indicated the species is long lived and slow growing based on fishery-dependent sampling undertaken in the late 1990s and early 2000s on traditional fishing grounds at the southern end of the species' range. Increasing fishing power has facilitated the expansion of the fishery to areas to the north and east of traditional grounds, which has resulted in the appearance of older fish (>10 yr) in fishery-dependent samples not previously observed. The current study estimated the growth parameters using 1153 length-at-age observations from fish collected in Queensland between January 2020 and December 2021. The lack of significant numbers of individuals at either end of the age frequency distribution necessitated the estimation of growth in a Bayesian framework with informative priors for lengthat-age-zero and maximum length using a multi-model approach. The von Bertalanffy growth function (VBGF) was found to best fit the observed length-at-age data and the estimated VBGF parameters were L ∞ = 562 mm FL, L 0 = 2.02 mm FL and k = 0.295 yr −1 .The high proportion of older fish in samples, combined with prior information on relevant parameters, improves growth parameter estimation by reducing bias and facilitating improved model fits to observed length-at-age data.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Improving estimates of growth for pearl perch (Glaucosoma scapulare) in Queensland, Australia

Campbell

McLennan

Nicolson

et al. 2022

Aquaculture Fish & Fisheries

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Section: Climate Change and Marine Fisheries Sustainabilitymentioning

confidence: 98%

“…While the studies by Hu et al (2022), Pawluk et al (2021);Walden et al, (2019) and Mcclenachan et al (2019) on marine habitat changes as a result of increasing sea water temperature found disruption to habitats and species migration. As many as nine fish species are predicted to experience habitat reduction and as many as 20 fish species will move to other areas by the year 2050 (Hu et al, 2022). A study in the North East Atlantic Ocean also found that 35 of the 50 marine fish species that are abundant in the North East Atlantic waters have migrated to other areas as a result of changes in sea water temperature (Simpson et al, 2011).…”

Section: Climate Change and Marine Fisheries Sustainabilitymentioning

confidence: 98%

“…The increase in sea temperature due to climate change has threatened the growth and fertility of marine ecology (Chandrapavan, Caputi, & Kangas, 2019) in addition to affecting the habitat of marine life (Hu et al, 2022;Pawluk et al, 2021;Walden et al, 2019;Mcclenachan et al, 2019). A study by Chandrapavan et al (2019) on blue crab species in Western Australian waters found that the natural mortality rate of this species has increased due to sea water heat waves.…”

Section: Climate Change and Marine Fisheries Sustainabilitymentioning

confidence: 99%

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Assessing Malaysia Marine Fisheries Sustainability Under Climate Change Pressure: A Quintuple Helix Approach

Mohamad

Rahmat²,

Mohd³

2022

MJSSH

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Marine fisheries are a major industry in Malaysia fisheries sector, which contributes significant growth in the economy and national food security. Unfortunately, this industry is vulnerable to the threats of climate change in relation to the marine environment such as the rising sea level, water acidity, and sea surface temperature. This study aims to assess the impact of climate change on the sustainability of marine fisheries in Malaysia. This study uses Quintuple Helix model approach which is the expansion of the established Triple Helix sustainability model that includes climate change as one of the important indicators. It involves a time-series analysis from 1989 to 2018 using Auto-Regressive Distribution Lag (ARDL). A long and short-run impact from rising in temperature and sea level on marine fisheries sustainability will help to impose a better adaptation and mitigation strategy for this industry. Consequently, the sustainability of marine fisheries will secure national economic prosperity and healthy protein supply.

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“…The RCPs include a high-emission scenario (RCP8.5), two medium-emission scenarios (RCP4.5 and RCP6.0), and a low-emission scenario (RCP2.6) based on different greenhouse gas emissions (Collins et al, 2013;Nurdin et al, 2017;Silva et al, 2018). It is reported that the habitats of 20 marine fishes will move northward based on different RCPs up to the 2050s (Hu et al, 2022). Common halfbeak and ballyhoo halfbeak were predicted to benefit from climate change with potential increase in their occurrence area in coastal regions of the Americas (Guerra et al, 2021).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Impact of climate change on long-term variations of small yellow croaker (Larimichthys polyactis) winter fishing grounds

Zhang

Liu²,

Tian³

et al. 2022

Front. Mar. Sci.

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Small yellow croaker (Larimichthys polyactis) is one of the key demersal species with high economic values and wide distribution in the China Seas. In this study, a Winter Fishing ground Abundance Index (WFAI) was developed by using fisheries survey data in 1971–1982 and used as the response variable to investigate the impacts of environmental variables, including surface current velocity (SCV), sea surface salinity (SSS), sea surface temperature (SST), and depth (DE). A total of 45 combinatorial generalized additive models (GAMs), generalized linear models (GLMs), and random forest models (RFs) were used to select the optimal WFAI prediction. The final WFAI distribution results showed that the winter fishing ground hotspots of small yellow croaker were mainly distributed between 11°C and 16°C isotherms and between 50-m and 100-m isobaths, and the area of winter fishing ground hotspots (WFHA) significantly decreased and the hotspots tended to move northward over the past 50 years. The shape of hotspots was strongly affected by temperature fronts and salinity fronts. Analysis with the climate indices revealed that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) might have a large influence on the distribution of small yellow croaker by affecting SST and SSS in the China Seas more than the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO), North Pacific Gyre Oscillation (NPGO), and Arctic Oscillation Index (AOI). The future prediction based on two extreme scenarios (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5) indicated that the hotspots would obviously move northward. These findings will serve effectively the fishery resources monitoring, management, and evaluation of small yellow croaker in the China Seas.

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Effects of climate change in the seas of China: Predicted changes in the distribution of fish species and diversity

Cited by 50 publications

References 72 publications

Improving estimates of growth for pearl perch (Glaucosoma scapulare) in Queensland, Australia

Improving estimates of growth for pearl perch (Glaucosoma scapulare) in Queensland, Australia

Assessing Malaysia Marine Fisheries Sustainability Under Climate Change Pressure: A Quintuple Helix Approach

Impact of climate change on long-term variations of small yellow croaker (Larimichthys polyactis) winter fishing grounds

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