Effects of Drought and Fire Severity Interaction on Short-Term Post-Fire Recovery of the Mediterranean Forest of South America

Abstract

Wildfires and drought stressors can significantly limit forest recovery in Mediterranean-type ecosystems. Since 2010, the region of central Chile has experienced a prolonged Mega Drought, which intensified into a Hyper Drought in 2019, characterized by record-low precipitation and high temperatures, further constraining forest recovery. This study evaluates short-term (5-year) post-fire vegetation recovery across drought gradients in two types of evergreen sclerophyllous forests and a thorny forest and shrubland, analyzing Landsat time series (1987–2022) from 42 wildfires. Using the LandTrendr algorithm, we assessed post-fire forest recovery based on NDVI changes between pre-fire values and subsequent years. The results reveal significant differences in recovery across drought gradients during the Hyper Drought period, among the three forest types studied. The xeric forest, dominated by Quillaja saponaria and Lithrea caustica, showed significant interaction effects between levels of drought and fire severity, while the thorny forest and shrubland displayed no significant interaction effects. The mesic forest, dominated by Cryptocarya alba and Peumus boldus, exhibited additional significant differences in recovery between the Hyper Drought and Mega Drought periods, along with significant interaction effects. These findings underscore the critical role of prolonged, severe drought in shaping forest recovery dynamics and highlight the need to understand these patterns to improve future forest resilience under increasingly arid conditions.