Effects of land use change on runoff depth in the Songnen Plain, China

Lu, Zhong; Zhang, Jinliang; Li, Chaoqun; Dong, Zhiqiang; Lei, Guoping; Yu, Ziyang

doi:10.1038/s41598-024-75469-z

Sci Rep

2024

DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-75469-z

|View full text |Cite

Effects of land use change on runoff depth in the Songnen Plain, China

Zhong Lu,

Jinliang Zhang,

Chaoqun Li

et al.

Help me understand this report

View preprint versions

Search citation statements

Order By: Relevance

Paper Sections

Select...

Citation Types

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Year Published

2024

Publication Types

Select...

Article1

Relationship

Self Cite0

Independent1

Authors

Journals

Cited by 1 publication

References 40 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

Impacts of Climate Change and Land Use/Cover Change on Runoff in the Huangfuchuan River Basin

Huang,

Qiu

2024

Land

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Studying the response of runoff to climate change and land use/cover change has guiding significance for watershed land planning, water resource planning, and ecological environment protection. Especially in the Yellow River Basin, which has a variable climate and fragile ecology, such research is more important. This article takes the Huangfuchuan River Basin (HFCRB) in the middle reaches of the Yellow River as the research area, and analyzes the impact of climate change scenarios and land use/cover change scenarios on runoff by constructing a SWAT model. Using CMIP6 GCMs to obtain future climate data and the CA–Markov model to predict future land use data, the two are coupled to estimate the future runoff process in the HFCRB, and the uncertainty of the estimated runoff is decomposed and quantified. The results were as follows: ① The SWAT model has good adaptability in the HFCRB. During the calibrated period and the validation period, R2 ≥ 0.84, NSE ≥ 0.8, and |PBIAS| ≤ 17.5%, all of which meet the model evaluation criteria. ② There is a negative correlation between temperature and runoff, and a positive correlation between precipitation and runoff. Runoff is more sensitive to temperature rise and precipitation increase. ③ The impact of land use types on runoff is in the order of cultivated land > grassland > forest land. ④ The variation range of runoff under the combined effects of future climate change and LUCC is between that of single climate change or LUCC scenarios. The increase in runoff under SSP126, SSP245, and SSP585 scenarios is 10.57%, 25.55%, and 31.28%, respectively. Precipitation is the main factor affecting the future runoff changes in the HFCRB. Model uncertainty is the main source of uncertainty in runoff prediction.

show abstract

Impacts of Climate Change and Land Use/Cover Change on Runoff in the Huangfuchuan River Basin

Huang,

Qiu

2024

Land

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.

Contact Info

customersupport@researchsolutions.com

10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614

Henderson, NV 89052, USA

This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.

Blog Terms and Conditions API Terms Privacy Policy Contact Cookie Preferences Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information

Made with 💙 for researchers

Part of the Research Solutions Family.

Effects of land use change on runoff depth in the Songnen Plain, China

Cited by 1 publication

References 40 publications

Impacts of Climate Change and Land Use/Cover Change on Runoff in the Huangfuchuan River Basin

Impacts of Climate Change and Land Use/Cover Change on Runoff in the Huangfuchuan River Basin

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About