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34A number of vaccines against Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) infection are approaching 35 licensure. Deciding which RSV vaccine strategy, if any, to introduce, will partly depend on cost-36 effectiveness analyses, which compares the relative costs and health benefits of a potential 37 vaccination programme. Health benefits are usually measured in Quality Adjusted Life Year 38 (QALY) loss, however, there are no QALY loss estimates for RSV that have been determined 39 using standardised instruments. Moreover, in children under the age of five years in whom 40 severe RSV episodes predominantly occur, there are no appropriate standardised instruments 41 to estimate QALY loss. We estimated the QALY loss due to RSV across all ages by developing 42 a novel regression model which predicts the QALY loss without the use of standardised 43 instruments. To do this, we conducted a surveillance study which targeted confirmed episodes 44 in children under the age of five years (confirmed cases) and their household members who 45 experienced symptoms of RSV during the same time (suspected cases.) All participants were 46 asked to complete questions regarding their health during the infection, with the suspected 47 cases aged 5-14 and 15+ years old additionally providing Health-Related Quality of Life (HR-48 QoL) loss estimates through completing EQ-5D-3L-Y and EQ-5D-3L instruments respectively. 49The questionnaire responses from the suspected cases were used to calibrate the regression 50 model. The calibrated regression model then used other questionnaire responses to predict the 51 HR-QoL loss without the use of EQ-5D instruments. The age-specific QALY loss was then 52 calculated by multiplying the HR-QoL loss on the worst day predicted from the regression 53 model, with estimates for the duration of infection from the questionnaires and a scaling 54 factoring for disease severity. Our regression model for predicting HR-QoL loss estimates that 55 for the worst day of infection, suspected RSV cases in persons five years and older who do and 56 do not seek healthcare have an HR-QoL loss of 0·616 (95% CI 0·155-1·371) and 0·405 (95% 57 CI 0·111-1·137) respectively. This leads to a QALY loss per RSV episode of 1·950 × 10 -3 (95% 58 CI 0·185 × 10 -3 -9·578 × 10 -3 ) and 1·543 × 10 -3 (95% CI 0·136 × 10 -3 -6·406 × 10 -3 ) respectively. 59For confirmed cases in a child under the age of five years who sought healthcare, our model 60 predicted a HR-QoL loss on the worst day of infection of 0·820 (95% CI 0·222-1·450) resulting 61 in a QALY loss per RSV episode of 3·823 × 10 -3 (95% CI 0·492 × 10 -3 -12·766 × 10 -3 ). Combing 62 these results with previous estimates of RSV burden in the UK, we estimate the annual QALY 63 loss of healthcare seeking RSV episodes as 1,199 for individuals aged five years and over and 64 1,441 for individuals under five years old. The QALY loss due to an RSV episode is less than 65 the QALY loss due to an Influenza episode. These results have important implications for 66 . CC-BY-ND 4.0 Inter...