Effects of transport-related COVID-19 policy measures: A case study of six developed countries

Zhang, Junyi; Zhang, Runsen; Ding, Hongxiang; Li, Shuangjin; Li, Rui; Ma, Stefan; Zhai, Baoxin; Kashima, Saori; Hayashi, Yoshitsugu

doi:10.1016/j.tranpol.2021.05.013

Cited by 40 publications

(18 citation statements)

References 35 publications

(37 reference statements)

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“…The results illustrated that none of the COVID interventions in public health and transport is associated with a decline of cumulative deaths or cumulative infection cases. Solely 40% of measures were detected meaningful in reducing the daily new cases [ 25 ].…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

How do the smart travel ban policy and intercity travel pattern affect COVID-19 trends? Lessons learned from Iran

2022

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COVID-19, as the most significant epidemic of the century, infected 467 million people and took the lives of more than 6 million individuals as of March 19, 2022. Due to the rapid transmission of the disease and the lack of definitive treatment, countries have employed nonpharmaceutical interventions. This study aimed to investigate the effectiveness of the smart travel ban policy, which has been implemented for non-commercial vehicles in the intercity highways of Iran since November 21, 2020. The other goal was to suggest efficient COVID-19 forecasting tools and to examine the association of intercity travel patterns and COVID-19 trends in Iran. To this end, weekly confirmed cases and deaths due to COVID-19 and the intercity traffic flow reported by loop detectors were aggregated at the country’s level. The Box-Jenkins methodology was employed to evaluate the policy’s effectiveness, using the interrupted time series analysis. The results indicated that the autoregressive integrated moving average with explanatory variable (ARIMAX) model outperformed the univariate ARIMA model in predicting the disease trends based on the MAPE criterion. The weekly intercity traffic and its lagged variables were entered as covariates in both models of the disease cases and deaths. The results indicated that the weekly intercity traffic increases the new weekly COVID-19 cases and deaths with a time lag of two and five weeks, respectively. Besides, the interrupted time series analysis indicated that the smart travel ban policy had decreased intercity travel by around 29%. Nonetheless, it had no significant direct effect on COVID-19 trends. This study suggests that the travel ban policy would not be efficient lonely unless it is coupled with active measures and adherence to health protocols by the people.

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Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

How do the smart travel ban policy and intercity travel pattern affect COVID-19 trends? Lessons learned from Iran

2022

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“…The effects of the measures introduced during the COVID-19 pandemic, which are related to transport, were addressed in his research by Zhang et al (2021). These authors developed a case study focused on the development of COVID-19 transport policy in six developed countries.…”

Section: Impacts Of the Pandemic Covid-19 On The Railway Sectormentioning

confidence: 99%

Implementation of COVID-19 measures in railway operation in the Slovak Republic

Bulková

Gašparík

Dedík

et al. 2022

CogSust

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Rail transport has a crucial role to play not only in the EU’s strategy for a sustainable transport sector, but also in terms of economic and social cohesion. It contributes significantly to the mix of transport modes in the EU, while providing clean mobility and a high degree of efficiency. Following the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic, the volume of passenger and freight rail transport has fallen sharply due to constraints and lower demand for transport. Several players in the rail market had to close down. Rail operators had to face a sharp decline in transport services. In 2020, the demand for passenger transport was significantly lower than in the previous year. Thus, railway undertakings were not able to pay the charges for access to the railway infrastructure during the emergency caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Infrastructure managers had the opportunity to temporarily reduce, waive or defer these charges. The negative economic consequences of the COVID-19 pandemic could reduce or significantly endanger their financial viability for market stakeholders. Reducing charges for access to railway infrastructure is just one of the few measures that will help railway undertakings to function better. The paper focuses on the analysis of the impact of the pandemic and the implemented measures on the passenger rail sector in the Slovak Republic and on the development of rail passenger and freight transport during the pandemic. It summarizes the proposed measures against the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic in rail transport in Slovakia.

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“…Rail operators have had to face a sharp decline in transport services. The effects of the measures introduced during the COVID-19 pandemic, which are related to transport, were addressed in his research by Zhang, et al (2021a). These authors developed a case study focused on the development of COVID-19 transport policy in six developed countries.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Framework Proposal for Solving Problems in Railway Transport During the COVID-19 Pandemic

Bulková

Dedík

Gašparík

et al. 2022

Transport Technic and Technology

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Since the beginning of 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic had a major impact on rail transport in the EU. The slowdown in the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic has been achieved by reducing the mobility of the population. The reduction in mobility has had an impact on passenger transport performance. The number of national rail passengers fell by as much as 90% during the first wave of the pandemic compared to the previous year. Several operators, especially new carriers, had to close down, while rail freight operators reported a dramatic drop in volumes as many sectors slowed or even stopped production as a result of the pandemic. The second wave of the autumn 2020 pandemic has forced many countries to take further restrictive measures regarding population mobility. The outbreak of the third wave of the pandemic has prevented a rapid recovery in rail transport, especially for passenger rail services. The paper focuses on the analysis of the impact of the pandemic and the measures put in place on the development of transport performance in rail transport in the Slovak Republic during the COVID-19 pandemic. The paper proposes operational and organizational measures against the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic in railway transport in the Slovak Republic.

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Effects of transport-related COVID-19 policy measures: A case study of six developed countries

Cited by 40 publications

References 35 publications

How do the smart travel ban policy and intercity travel pattern affect COVID-19 trends? Lessons learned from Iran

How do the smart travel ban policy and intercity travel pattern affect COVID-19 trends? Lessons learned from Iran

Implementation of COVID-19 measures in railway operation in the Slovak Republic

Framework Proposal for Solving Problems in Railway Transport During the COVID-19 Pandemic

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