2019
DOI: 10.35377/saucis.02.02.600620
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Elektrik Yükünün Genetik Algoritma Temelli Holt-Winters Üstel Düzeltme Yönteminiyle Tahmini

Abstract: Energy planning has become important in developing countries and growing economies. The balance between energy production and consumption is based on good planning. The basis of the planning lies in high accuracy estimation, where time series techniques are often used. The Holt-Winters exponential smoothing method, which is one of the time series techniques and includes seasonality, was used in this study. In the study, genetic algorithm method was used to determine the parameters in Holt-Winters exponential s… Show more

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Cited by 6 publications
(4 citation statements)
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“…Calculates the MSE (Mean Square Error) value and the MAPE (Mean Absolute Presentage Error) value from the 9-day sample data of each tourist spot to see the magnitude of the accuracy of the forecasts generated from each tourist spot studied so that the error value obtained is minimized [15]. maybe, the calculation of MSE and MAPE values is carried out on each data that has calculated the Autoreggressive and Moving Average values then from each MSE and MAPE value in each data it will be averaged so as to produce MSE and MAPE values with a small percentage.…”
Section: Testingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Calculates the MSE (Mean Square Error) value and the MAPE (Mean Absolute Presentage Error) value from the 9-day sample data of each tourist spot to see the magnitude of the accuracy of the forecasts generated from each tourist spot studied so that the error value obtained is minimized [15]. maybe, the calculation of MSE and MAPE values is carried out on each data that has calculated the Autoreggressive and Moving Average values then from each MSE and MAPE value in each data it will be averaged so as to produce MSE and MAPE values with a small percentage.…”
Section: Testingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…PSO is hybridized with GA to improve the efficiency of PSO so that Breeding Swarm (BS) model were introduced [4], however they have some deficiencies. In genetics, to generate a new individual at least two parents are required.…”
Section: Proposed Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…With shared experience all particles towards to best solution and search other possibilities through that way. PSO and GA algorithms used in many real-world problems such as wireless sensor optimization and electrical load forecasting [3], [4].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The solution of the insulation problem was researched using different heuristic algorithms by [12,13]. In addition, heuristic algorithms are used in many areas [14,15].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%