Elements of risk analysis for collision and grounding of a RoRo passenger ferry

Otto, Sven; Pedersen, Preben Terndrup; Samuelides, Manolis; Sames, Pierre C.

doi:10.1016/s0951-8339(02)00014-x

Cited by 88 publications

(39 citation statements)

References 2 publications

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“…In impact study, merchant ship tends to be an observation object as it has high probability to experience such load. Demand to expand the studies to other marine vessels is fulfilled by Otto et al [51] and Prabowo et al [52] as Ro-Ro passenger ship is taken as observation object, where Otto directed his study on risk analysis for collision and grounding, and Prabowo focused his attention to structural behavior accounting for external dynamics of ship collision. Investigation of structural performance under impact load, especially in shoal grounding case was carried by Yu et al [53] where in ship collision case, concern on double hull design against impact load, failure, and oil spill were addressed by Hong and Amdahl [35], Pedersen & Li [54], Yip et al [55] and Hegazy et al [56].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Development in Calculation and Analysis of Collision and Grounding on Marine Structures and Ocean Engineering Fields

Prabowo¹,

Bae²,

Sohn³

et al. 2017

JAMB

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Various activities are conducted in oceanic territory in order to fulfil numerous demands. Ship has important role in these activities as transportation, supplier, and vessel which also directly connects with marine structures, such as offshore platform. Complex function of each facilities in this field makes chain reaction of one event can be remarkable and fatal. Accidental load becomes major consideration in operation of these marine and ocean facilities with famous example of accident phenomenon Titanic and Exxon Valdez have made related parties to perform sustainable analysis to develop assessment method, refine formula, propose prevention system, mitigation scheme, structural behavior, etc. In present work, a brief discussion in collision and grounding for related objects in scopes of marine structure and ocean engineering. The introduction is presented in initial part as presenting background, importance, and implication of impact engineering. Several examples are addressed to observe contribution this part in history of naval architecture. In next section, discussion is given in specific fields, namely ocean and marine engineering. Implementation of impact and accidental load are presented in conceptual method and material preparation. Results are described as milestone of collision and groundings' development. In later section, conclusion is summarized based on discussion and recommendation in performing analysis and calculation for collision and grounding are covered.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Development in Calculation and Analysis of Collision and Grounding on Marine Structures and Ocean Engineering Fields

Prabowo¹,

Bae²,

Sohn³

et al. 2017

JAMB

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“…More specifically, the three causation probability values are 1·30 × 10 −4 for crossing encounters, 4·90 × 10 −5 for overtaking encounters and 4·90 × 10 −5 for head-on encounters, respectively. Considering the fact that the Maritime and Port Authority of Singapore has used the Vessel Traffic Service (VTS) system to monitor the Singapore port fairways, it is reasonable to assume that the causation probabilities for the crossing encounters are 6·83 × 10 −5 in good visibility (e.g., daytime periods) and 4·64 × 10 −4 in poor visibility (e.g., night time periods), which were suggested by Otto et al (2002). Table 3 reports that the overall ship collision frequency in five fairways is 3·27 per year.…”

Section: S H I P C O L L I S I O N F R E Qu E N C Y E S T I M At I O mentioning

confidence: 99%

Ship Collision Frequency Estimation in Port Fairways: A Case Study

Weng

Xue

2015

J. Navigation

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This study aims to evaluate ship collision frequency in port fairways. One case study is created using one month's real-time ship movement data from five major Singapore port fairways. Results show that tankers account for the biggest proportion in the Temasek fairway, whereas the percentage of Roll-on-Roll-Off (RORO) and passenger ships is quite small in the Temasek fairway, Sinki fairway, Jong fairway and Southern fairway. Tankers and container ships are the two major ship types involved in dangerous encounters. The largest number of dangerous head-on and overtaking encounters is located in the Jong fairway. The majority of dangerous crossing encounters have occurred in the West Keppel fairway and Jong fairway. Ship collision frequency at night is found to be significantly higher than during the day in these fairways. K E Y WO R D S 1. Marine traffic.2. Safety. 3. Ship.

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“…Distribution of ships' speeds, total area studied. Fujii et al, 1974;Fowler and Sørgård, 2000;Otto et al, 2002;Rosqvist et al, 2002;Kujala et al, 2009;Hänninen and Kujala, 2010;Montewka et al, 2010).…”

Section: R I S K O F S H I P -S H I P Co L L I S I O N O F F T H E Pomentioning

confidence: 99%

Use of AIS Data to Characterise Marine Traffic Patterns and Ship Collision Risk off the Coast of Portugal

Silveira¹,

Teixeira²,

Soares³

2013

J. Navigation

260

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This paper studies the risk of ship collision off the coast of Portugal based on Automatic Identification System (AIS) data, which is recorded and maintained by the Portuguese coastal Vessel Traffic Service (VTS) control centre (CCTMC). Computer programs for decoding, visualization and analysis of the AIS data have been developed. From analysis of the AIS data available, maritime traffic off the coast of Portugal is characterized and a statistical analysis of traffic in the Traffic Separation Schemes is provided. An algorithm has been developed to assess the risk profile and the relative importance of routes associated with ports. A method is proposed to calculate the collision risk from the assessment of the number of collision candidates by estimating future distances between ships based on their previous positions, courses and speeds, and comparing those distances with a defined collision diameter. Values of causation probability suggested in several studies are used to calculate the expected number of collisions in the period of time under investigation based on the number of collision candidates. The results of this study are then compared with the number of collisions that have occurred between 1997-2006, registered

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Elements of risk analysis for collision and grounding of a RoRo passenger ferry

Cited by 88 publications

References 2 publications

Development in Calculation and Analysis of Collision and Grounding on Marine Structures and Ocean Engineering Fields

Development in Calculation and Analysis of Collision and Grounding on Marine Structures and Ocean Engineering Fields

Ship Collision Frequency Estimation in Port Fairways: A Case Study

Use of AIS Data to Characterise Marine Traffic Patterns and Ship Collision Risk off the Coast of Portugal

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