2018
DOI: 10.4236/me.2018.93026
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Empirical Analysis of Private Consumption in Lesotho: An ARDL Bound Test Approach

Abstract: The study empirically analyzes private consumption in Lesotho over the period 1982-2015 by employing an Autoregressive Distributed Lag bound test approach to cointegration. The results show that private consumption is positively influenced by the level of national disposable income in the short run and long run. The Marginal Propensity to Consume is highly significant and is less than 1. This proves the Keynesian consumption theory in Lesotho. The research findings reveal that increased government expenditure … Show more

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Cited by 8 publications
(7 citation statements)
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References 16 publications
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“…[27] investigated the case of Lesotho and found that higher income is associated with higher private consumption, while higher inflation and higher interest rates reduce private consumption. These findings contradict with [28] who found that private consumption is positively influenced by income and interest rates on deposits, while inflation has no effect on private consumption. Moreover, government expenditure was found to crowd out private consumption.…”
Section: Introductioncontrasting
confidence: 92%
“…[27] investigated the case of Lesotho and found that higher income is associated with higher private consumption, while higher inflation and higher interest rates reduce private consumption. These findings contradict with [28] who found that private consumption is positively influenced by income and interest rates on deposits, while inflation has no effect on private consumption. Moreover, government expenditure was found to crowd out private consumption.…”
Section: Introductioncontrasting
confidence: 92%
“…Similarly, it was found that private consumption (PRC) had a positive relationship with economic performance across all quantiles. This result was in agreement with the findings of Guo and N’Diaye (2010), Nikbin and Panahi (2016), Damane (2018) and Pegkas, (2018). For instance, Damane (2018) suggested that growth in GDP leads to an increase in household income and, therefore, a rise in the level of private consumption over time.…”
Section: Empirical Findingssupporting
confidence: 93%
“…By the KPSS test, all the variables are stationary at 1% significant level. Phillip and Perron [14] through the Monte Carlo simulations have found that the less effective about the ADF test in the case of small samples. The ADF test method can be supplemented by the characteristics of KPSS test in the case of small samples.…”
Section: Unit Root Test Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%