“…Definite proof of generic early warning signals for the onset of anxiety or depression episodes requires researchers to monitor many individuals with high-frequency assessments over a long period in advance of the transition under studyand because such data has been collected with compliance rates of 80% and up (see Hoenders et al, 2012;Wichers et al, 2016Wichers et al, , 2018Schiepek et al, 2016), in the near future we expect studies that show whether the idea of warning signals has substance, and result in the implementation of prevention strategies. At the group-level the timing of such discrete transitions in depressive symptom severity is inconsistent (De Zwart et al, 2018) which indicates substantial individual variability and sudden changes; This is illustrated in Figure 7.1, which shows the recovery trajectory of 267 participants over 140 weeks in terms of their depressive symptoms (a 50% symptom reduction after 30 weeks) and demonstrates how uninformative group-level indicators can be for individual patterns. The idea of non-linear shifts in symptom severity combined with large individual variability favors knowledge on how symptoms evolve at the level of the individual in daily life to elucidate mechanisms, because the underlying causes are probably individualspecific (Fisher et al, 2018;Yang et al, 2018).…”