Encoder–Decoder-Based Velocity Prediction Modelling for Passenger Vehicles Coupled with Driving Pattern Recognition

Abstract

To improve the performance of predictive energy management strategies for hybrid passenger vehicles, this paper proposes an Encoder–Decoder (ED)-based velocity prediction modelling system coupled with driving pattern recognition. Firstly, the driving pattern recognition (DPR) model is established by a K-means clustering algorithm and validated on test data; the driving patterns can be identified as urban, suburban, and highway. Then, by introducing the encoder–decoder structure, a DPR-ED model is designed, which enables the simultaneous input of multiple temporal features to further improve the prediction accuracy and stability. The results show that the root mean square error (RMSE) of the DPR-ED model on the validation set is 1.028 m/s for the long-time sequence prediction, which is 6.6% better than that of the multilayer perceptron (MLP) model. When the two models are applied to the test dataset, the proportion with a low error of 0.1~0.3 m/s is improved by 4% and the large-error proportion is filtered by the DPR-ED model. The DPR-ED model performs 5.2% better than the MLP model with respect to the average prediction accuracy. Meanwhile, the variance is decreased by 15.6%. This novel framework enables the processing of long-time sequences with multiple input dimensions, which improves the prediction accuracy under complicated driving patterns and enhances the generalization-related performance and robustness of the model.