1996
DOI: 10.1177/019251296017002002
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Enduring Rivalries: The Early Years

Abstract: This paper develops and tests a game-based model of enduring international rivalries. The model is embedded in a theoretical framework that conceives of interstate conflicts as series of temporally related games. Transition across games is governed by learning, which occurs when actors revise their perception of the opponent in response to previous interactions. The model shows that learning can sometimes produce patterns of repeated conflict. An empirical analysis of four enduring rivalries reveals a high inc… Show more

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Cited by 52 publications
(24 citation statements)
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“…5 Rivalries, then, may last indefinitely, while their related periods of actual militarized conflict may not. Maoz and Mor (1996) show that the highest likelihood of armed conflict coincides with the early years of a rivalry. Rival states experience abnormally high levels of armed engagement during the initial formation of the rivalry, and Maoz and Mor's analysis suggests that they may settle into less conflictual patterns afterward.…”
Section: Rivalries and The Probability Of Armed Conflictmentioning
confidence: 94%
“…5 Rivalries, then, may last indefinitely, while their related periods of actual militarized conflict may not. Maoz and Mor (1996) show that the highest likelihood of armed conflict coincides with the early years of a rivalry. Rival states experience abnormally high levels of armed engagement during the initial formation of the rivalry, and Maoz and Mor's analysis suggests that they may settle into less conflictual patterns afterward.…”
Section: Rivalries and The Probability Of Armed Conflictmentioning
confidence: 94%
“…Repeated wars between enduring rivals are influenced by a learning process, in which opponent states revise their perception of each other. Within an evolutionary perspective, early years of enduring rivalry are characterized by greater incidents of wars, while learning and changes in national capabilities contribute to reducing war incidents in latter stages of the rivalry (Maoz, 1996).…”
Section: Synthetic Conceptualizationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…First, where most research on interstate conflict examines isolated incidents, rivalries are fundamentally about sustained hostility; in other words, rivalry involves both significant animosity and an inability to resolve differences, either through conflict or negotiation (Hensel 1996;Maoz and Mor 1996). Second, extant research on institutional similarity arguments has only examined the militarized interstate dispute (MID) data.…”
Section: Rivalry Framework and Hypothesesmentioning
confidence: 99%