The deep connection between thermodynamics, computation, and information is now well established both theoretically and experimentally. Here, we extend these ideas to show that thermodynamics also places fundamental constraints on statistical estimation and learning. To do so, we investigate the constraints placed by (nonequilibrium) thermodynamics on the ability of biochemical signaling networks to estimate the concentration of an external signal. We show that accuracy is limited by energy consumption, suggesting that there are fundamental thermodynamic constraints on statistical inference.Cells often perform complex computations in response to external signals. These computations are implemented using elaborate biochemical networks that may operate out of equilibrium and consume energy [1][2][3][4][5][6][7]. Given that energetic costs place important constraints on the design of physical computing devices [8] and neural computing architectures [9], one may conjecture that thermodynamic constraints also influence the design of cellular information processing networks. This raises interesting questions about the relationship between the information processing capabilities of biochemical networks and energy consumption [10][11][12][13][14]. Indeed, we will show that thermodynamics places fundamental constraints on the ability of biochemical networks to perform statistical inference. More generally, statistical inference is intimately tied to the manipulation of information and hence offers a rich setting to study the relationship between information and thermodynamics [15][16][17][18][19].In order for a cell to formulate an appropriate response to an environmental signal, it must first estimate the concentration of an external signaling molecule using membrane bound receptors [1][2][3][4][5][6]20]. The biophysics and biochemistry of cellular receptors is highly variable. Whereas some simple receptor proteins behave like twostate systems (i.e. unbound and ligand bound) with dynamics obeying detailed balance [21], other receptors, such as G-protein coupled receptors (GPCRs), can actively consume energy as they cycle through multiple states. This naturally raises questions about how energy consumption by cellular receptors affects their ability to perform statistical inference. Here, we address these questions by analyzing the accuracy of statistical inference (i.e. learning) as a function of energy consumption in a simple but biophysically realistic model. We show that learning more accurately always requires expending more energy, suggesting that the accuracy of a statistical estimator is fundamentally constrained by thermodynamics.Cells estimate the concentration of an external ligand using ligand-specific receptors expressed on the cell surface. A ligand (usually a small molecule), at a concentration c in the environment, binds the receptor at a concentration-dependent rate, k + c, and unbinds at a concentration-independent rate, k − [1] (see Fig. 1A). Upon ligand binding, the receptor protein undergoes conforma...