Given a velocity field u(x, t), we consider the evolution of a passive tracer θ governed by ∂tθ + u · ∇θ = ∆θ + g with time-independent source g(x). When u is small, Batchelor, Howells and Townsend (1959, J. Fluid Mech. 5:134) predicted that the tracer spectrum scales as |θ k | 2 ∝ |k| −4 |u k | 2 . In this paper, we prove that this scaling does indeed hold for large |k|, in a probabilistic sense, for random synthetic two-dimensional incompressible velocity fields u(x, t) with given energy spectra. We also propose an asymptotic correction factor to the BHT scaling arising from the time-dependence of u.2000 Mathematics Subject Classification. 35Q30, 76F02.