Energy-system modelling of the EU strategy towards climate-neutrality

Capros, Pantélis; Zazias, Georgios; Evangelopoulou, Stavroula; Kannavou, Maria; Fotiou, Theofano; Siskos, Pelopidas; Vita, Alessia De; Sakellaris, Konstantinos

doi:10.1016/j.enpol.2019.110960

Cited by 156 publications

(70 citation statements)

References 51 publications

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“…It should be noted that the PRIMES 2007 reference scenario is a baseline developed before the economic crisis of 2008 and has been maintained by policy makers to ensure consistency of progress tracking over time. This baseline has been corrected successively during each new projection, which occurred every 2 to 3 years (see for example PRIMES 2012 (Capros et al 2013) and PRIMES 2016 (Capros et al 2016) baselines in Fig. 1), which are considerably lower than the original PRIMES 2007 baseline.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…In some interesting cases, we also consider the period of 2007 to 2015 to analyse the development directly following an economic recession. The most relevant policies related to energy efficiency in these periods are as follows: , which was replaced recently with R e g u l a t i o n ( E U ) 2 0 1 7 / 1 3 6 9 ( E u r o p e a n (Capros et al 2008(Capros et al , 2013(Capros et al , 2016 Parliament At the same time, there are a large number of national energy efficiency policies, which also contribute to improving energy efficiency. For an overview, see the ODYSSEE-MURE database (ODYSSEE-MURE 2017) on energy efficiency policies and trends.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

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Applying ex post index decomposition analysis to final energy consumption for evaluating European energy efficiency policies and targets

2019

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This paper aims to unravel the effects of both policies and autonomous developments driving the changes of final energy consumption for the European Union (EU28) and its member states complemented with an in-depth analysis of two EU member states, Germany and Poland, for the period of 2000 to 2015 by the logarithmic mean Divisia index methodology (LMDI). We examine the influences on the changes in final energy consumption for each of the five main demand sectors at aggregated level and at a more detailed level of residential end-uses, transport modes and industrial sub-sectors. With the second level, we provide insights into the effects of policies from a European and national perspective. Our analysis shows that final energy consumption in the EU28 is primarily influenced by an increase in energy efficiency in industry followed by households. For the latter, the energy savings were mainly realised in space heating. The main counteracting drivers were increasing economic activity and the rising demand for higher comfort and social factors, such as a declining household size. Germany shows relatively low energy efficiency improvements in industry, but strong energy efficiency gains in households followed by transport. Poland's transport, however, is responsible for a strong increase in final energy consumption mainly through increased activity, while here the sector industry-despite strong effects of increased activity-in total shows a significant reduction in energy consumption through energy efficiency improvements.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Applying ex post index decomposition analysis to final energy consumption for evaluating European energy efficiency policies and targets

2019

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“…This means that also in developing counties, re-planning of forest management is a top priority for policy makers. New investments both on forestry and the recreation is a necessity in order to move towards new policies, climate-neutrality oriented [36]. It should be acknowledged that in this effort -local communities are vital parts of the forest ecosystem identity.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Investigating the Citizens’ Views and Perceptions About the Urban Forest Infrastructure and Services of Komotini, Greece

Andrea

Tampakis

Giannakopoulos

et al. 2020

Wseas Transactions on Environment and Development

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Urban and suburban forests are vital for the citizens’ quality of life. Several beneficial functions offorests are provided to the city dwellers if the proper infrastructures and services are efficiently designed orimproved in urban forests. The case study investigates the urban forest of Komotini city in Greece according toits citizens’ views. The assess the existing infrastructures and with the use of hierarchical log-linear analysis thetypology of their visit, the infrastructural status and safety issues are associated to provide a better understandingin the citizens’ attitudes. Also factor analysis is applied, while random sampling was implemented in the research.Major findings reveal that certain policies should be designed for the effectively utilization of the urban forestfor fitness and recreation reasons. Also, the safety conditions ought to be enhanced as most of the citizens areunsatisfied.

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“…Such an increase in the amount of power generated for hydrogen production is regarded as indirect electrification. For example, net zero emissions scenario of the UK Committee on Climate Change (2019) and Capros et al (2019) explicitly takes into account that the amount of electricity required for electrolysis of water will occur at a level comparable to the electricity demand of the traditional demand sector. It is also possible to import hydrogen; in which case the domestic electricity generation is not affected.…”

Section: Electricity and Hydrogenmentioning

confidence: 99%

Demand-side decarbonization and electrification: EMF 35 JMIP study

et al. 2021

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Japan’s long-term strategy submitted to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change emphasizes the importance of improving the electrification rates to reducing GHG emissions. Using the five models participating in Energy Modeling Forum 35 Japan Model Intercomparison project (JMIP), we focused on the demand-side decarbonization and analyzed the final energy composition required to achieve 80% reductions in GHGs by 2050 in Japan. The model results show that the electricity share in final energy use (electrification rate) needs to reach 37–66% in 2050 (26% in 2010) to achieve the emissions reduction of 80%. The electrification rate increases mainly due to switching from fossil fuel end-use technologies (i.e. oil water heater, oil stove and combustion-engine vehicles) to electricity end-use technologies (i.e. heat pump water heater and electric vehicles). The electricity consumption in 2050 other than AIM/Hub ranged between 840 and 1260 TWh (AIM/Hub: 1950TWh), which is comparable to the level seen in the last 10 years (950–1035 TWh). The pace at which electrification rate must be increased is a challenge. The model results suggest to increase the electrification pace to 0.46–1.58%/yr from 2030 to 2050. Neither the past electrification pace (0.30%/year from 1990 to 2010) nor the outlook of the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (0.15%/year from 2010 to 2030) is enough to reach the suggested electrification rates in 2050. Therefore, more concrete measures to accelerate dissemination of electricity end-use technologies across all sectors need to be established.

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Energy-system modelling of the EU strategy towards climate-neutrality

Cited by 156 publications

References 51 publications

Applying ex post index decomposition analysis to final energy consumption for evaluating European energy efficiency policies and targets

Applying ex post index decomposition analysis to final energy consumption for evaluating European energy efficiency policies and targets

Investigating the Citizens’ Views and Perceptions About the Urban Forest Infrastructure and Services of Komotini, Greece

Demand-side decarbonization and electrification: EMF 35 JMIP study

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