ENSO‐Related Precursor Pathways of Interannual Thermal Anomalies Identified Using a Transformer‐Based Deep Learning Model in the Tropical Pacific
Lu Zhou,
Rong‐Hua Zhang
Abstract:Recent studies have demonstrated great values of deep‐learning (DL) methods for improving El Niño‐Southern Oscillation (ENSO) predictions. However, the black‐box nature of DL makes it challenging to physically interpret mechanisms responsible for successful ENSO predictions. Here, we demonstrate an interpretable method by performing perturbation experiments to predictors and quantifying input‐output relationships in predictions by using a transformer‐based model; ENSO‐related thermal precursors serving as init… Show more
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