Environmental resistance predicts the spread of alien species

Lovell, Rebecca S. L.; Blackburn, Tim M.; Dyer, Ellie E.; Pigot, Alex L.

doi:10.1038/s41559-020-01376-x

Cited by 29 publications

(21 citation statements)

References 46 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…Our modeling results can be directly used for a first assessment of the establishment and geographical spread risk components of any risk analysis procedure aimed at any of the traded bird species we consider here. Alternatively, bespoke finer-grained forecasts of where invasive species are most likely to colonize can easily be obtained by leveraging our modeled suitable areas as input for dispersal-explicit models simulating population dynamics across landscapes (Fordham et al, 2012(Fordham et al, , 2013, while using invasion histories of previously established invaders as proxy for the strength and influence of biotic interactions on invasive spread (Lovell et al, 2021).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land‐cover change

Naimi

Capinha

Ribeiro

et al. 2022

Global Change Biology

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Humans have moved species away from their native ranges since the Neolithic, but globalization accelerated the rate at which species are being moved. We fitted more than half million distribution models for 610 traded bird species on the CITES list to examine the separate and joint effects of global climate and land-cover change on their potential end-of-century distributions. We found that climate-induced suitability for modelled invasive species increases with latitude, because traded birds are mainly of tropical origin and much of the temperate region is 'tropicalizing.' Conversely, the tropics are becoming more arid, thus limiting the potential from cross-continental invasion by tropical species. This trend is compounded by forest loss around the tropics since most traded birds are forest dwellers. In contrast, net gains in forest area across the temperate region could compound climate change effects and increase the potential for colonization of low-latitude birds. Climate change has always led to regional redistributions of species, but the combination of human transportation, climate, and land-cover changes will likely accelerate the redistribution of species globally, increasing chances of alien species successfully invading non-native lands. Such process of biodiversity homogenization can lead to emergence of non-analogue communities with unknown environmental and socioeconomic consequences.

show abstract

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land‐cover change

Naimi

Capinha

Ribeiro

et al. 2022

Global Change Biology

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…An alien species may have different outcomes in distinct sites of a same region [33]. The first arrivals may survive, reproduce, and spread to become invasive at some locations, while they may succumb at others, even if all individuals of that species share the same traits: e.g., aggressiveness, competitiveness, frugality, polyphagy, tolerance to adverse environmental conditions [34].…”

Section: Factors Driving the Invasion Processmentioning

confidence: 99%

Alien Invasive Pathogens and Pests Harming Trees, Forests, and Plantations: Pathways, Global Consequences and Management

Panzavolta

Bracalini

Benigno

et al. 2021

Forests

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Forest health worldwide is impacted by many invasive alien pathogens and pests (IAPPs) that cause significant harm, with severe economic losses and environmental alterations. Destructive tree pathogens and pests have in the past devastated our forests, natural landscapes and cityscapes and still continue to represent a serious threat. The main driver of pathogen and pest invasions is human activities, above all global trade, which allows these invasive species to overstep their natural distribution ranges. While natural transport occurs according to a regular, expected colonization pattern (based on the dispersive capacity of the organism), human-mediated transport takes place on a larger, unpredictable scale. In order for a pathogen or pest species to become invasive in a new territory it must overcome distinct stages (barriers) that strongly affect the outcome of the invasion. Early detection is crucial to enabling successful eradication and containment. Although sophisticated diagnostic techniques are now available for disease and pest surveillance and monitoring, few control and mitigation options are usable in forestry; of these, biological control is one of the most frequently adopted. Since invasion by pathogens and pests is an economic and ecological problem of supranational relevance, governments should endorse all necessary preventive and corrective actions. To this end, establishing and harmonizing measures among countries is essential, both for preventing new introductions and for diminishing the eventual range expansion of IAPPs present at a local scale. Research is fundamental for: (i) developing effective and rapid diagnostic tools; (ii) investigating the epidemiology and ecology of IAPPs in newly introduced areas; and (iii) supporting policymakers in the implementation of quarantine regulations.

show abstract

“…Extending these frameworks to consider the evolutionary history of both source and recipient communities would better quantify the change in species interactions experienced by an introduced species. Along these lines, Lovell et al (2021) recently showed that invasive species spread can be better predicted when considering the species compositions of both source and recipient communities.…”

Section: Relative Phylogenetic Structurementioning

confidence: 99%

Where we've been and where we're going: the importance of source communities in predicting establishment success from phylogenetic relationships

et al. 2021

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The last two decades have seen growing use of phylogenetic patterns to test hypotheses predicting the success of introduced species. Nearly all of these tests have focused on hypotheses pertaining to phylogenetic relatedness between introduced species and those of the recipient community, largely neglecting hypotheses regarding phylogenetic relationships in the source region. We synthesize hypotheses regarding how phylogenetic relationships of both recipient and source regions together influence establishment success. We also detail how best to account for differences in source communities within phylogenetic frameworks of invasion. Existing studies have predominantly focused on the environmental filtering and competition‐relatedness hypotheses, which deal with relatedness to the recipient community. We discuss how these recipient–region hypotheses can be integrated with three hypotheses focused on the relatedness between an introduced species and the source community in which it originated: the evolutionary imbalance, universal tradeoff and competitive constraint hypotheses. We detail important issues that arise when testing alternative hypotheses and interpreting results. We highlight a lack of tests of synthetic phylogenetic hypotheses including both the source and recipient community phylogenetic structure, as well as important covariates such as propagule pressure. Such synthetic tests may be valuable for identifying general phylogenetic patterns in establishment success, predicting future invasions, and for stimulating further exploration of the underlying mechanisms of invasibility. We conclude with recommendations for future studies that use phylogenetic relationships to predict invasions: including source and recipient communities, using complete phylogenies and accounting for phylogenetic uncertainty, considering multiple stages of invasion and conducting analyses across spatial and phylogenetic scales where possible.

show abstract

Environmental resistance predicts the spread of alien species

Cited by 29 publications

References 46 publications

Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land‐cover change

Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land‐cover change

Alien Invasive Pathogens and Pests Harming Trees, Forests, and Plantations: Pathways, Global Consequences and Management

Where we've been and where we're going: the importance of source communities in predicting establishment success from phylogenetic relationships

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About