This study considers whether spikes in nitrate in snow sampled at Summit, Greenland, from August 2000 to August 2002 are related to solar proton events. After identifying tropospheric sources of nitrate on the basis of correlations with sulfate, ammonium, sodium, and calcium, we use the three-dimensional global Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model (WACCM) to examine unaccounted for nitrate spikes. Model calculations confirm that solar proton events significantly impact HO x , NO x , and O 3 levels in the mesosphere and stratosphere during the weeks and months following the major 9 November 2000 solar proton event. However, solar proton event (SPE)-enhanced NO y calculated within the atmospheric column is too small to account for the observed nitrate peaks in surface snow. Instead, our WACCM results suggest that nitrate spikes not readily accounted for by measurement correlations are likely of anthropogenic origin. These results, consistent with other recent studies, imply that nitrate spikes in ice cores are not suitable proxies for individual SPEs and motivate the need to identify alternative proxies.
IntroductionIdentifying the impact of solar particle storms on the atmosphere remains fundamental in understanding the Sun's influence on Earth's climate [Gray et al., 2010; National Research Council, 2012]. High-energy particles from these solar events increase odd nitrogen and odd hydrogen, catalytically destroying ozone and thereby potentially impacting climate through the chemistry, radiative budget, and dynamics of the upper atmosphere [e.g., Randall et al., 2005;Jackman et al., 2008]. In addition, these space weather events have the potential to disrupt power grids, communications technology, and spacecraft [National Research Council, 2008].Direct observations of solar energetic particle events have only been available since the midtwentieth century. A broader understanding of the potential frequency and intensity of these events requires a more extensive record of historical occurrences, motivating the search for indirect proxy evidence [Schrijver et al., 2012]. There are numerous analytical and predictive studies using nitrate ion (NO 3 À ) variability in polar ice cores as a proxy for solar energetic particle events [e.g., Zeller and Parker, 1981;Dreschhoff and Zeller, 1990;McCracken et al., 2001a;Shea et al., 2006;Kepko et al., 2009]. However, this relationship has been questioned, particularly with regard to the short timescales associated with individual events [e.g., Legrand and Delmas, 1986;Wolff et al., 2008Wolff et al., , 2012. Contemporary progress toward predicting space weather urgently awaits the resolution of whether or not NO 3 À spikes in ice cores can be used to infer past events [e.g., Barnard et al., 2011;Riley, 2012]. [1981] associated nitrate levels with solar activity through the correlation NO 3 À in Antarctic ice cores with cosmogenic carbon isotopes ( 14 C) in tree rings. Statistical correlation studies confirm the covariance between NO 3 À and cosmogenic radionuclides...