2000
DOI: 10.11150/kansenshogakuzasshi1970.74.481
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Epidemiological Analysis of Influenza B Virus Belonging to B/Victoria/2/87 Lineage Isolated in Off-Season of 1998 and Late Epidemic Season in Shizuoka Prefecture

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“…We then postulated that the primary reason for the influenza B V-lineage epidemic in the 2001-2002 season was the existence of the herald virus at the end of the previous season. Although the herald wave phenomenon is not always observed [16][17][18], this observation is useful information for predicting forthcoming influenza epidemics. Based on the same theory, we predicted that there would be a Y-lineage epidemic in the 2002-2003 season, as we detected four Y-lineage viruses in March and April 2002 and we observed an antigenic drift in these strains compared to the standard antigen in human sera as shown in Figure 4.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 96%
“…We then postulated that the primary reason for the influenza B V-lineage epidemic in the 2001-2002 season was the existence of the herald virus at the end of the previous season. Although the herald wave phenomenon is not always observed [16][17][18], this observation is useful information for predicting forthcoming influenza epidemics. Based on the same theory, we predicted that there would be a Y-lineage epidemic in the 2002-2003 season, as we detected four Y-lineage viruses in March and April 2002 and we observed an antigenic drift in these strains compared to the standard antigen in human sera as shown in Figure 4.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 96%