Epidemiological and sociodemographic transitions of female breast cancer incidence, death, case fatality and DALYs in 21 world regions and globally, from 1990 to 2017: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis

Mubarik, Sumaira; Yan, Yu; Wang, Fang; Malik, Saima Shakil; Liu, Xiaoxue; Fawad, Muhammad; Shi, Fang; Yu, Chuanhua

doi:10.1016/j.jare.2021.07.012

Cited by 41 publications

(59 citation statements)

References 41 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Order By: Relevance

“…While most studies were single-country studies, some were multi-country and global studies including African countries. There were 16 global studies including the African or SSA regions ( 27 , 46 , 69 , 104 , 106 , 108 , 109 , 117 , 121 , 122 , 127 , 131 , 142 , 144 , 145 , 158 ) and there were 16 African multi-country studies ( 2 , 6 , 87 , 119 , 120 , 138 , 140 , 141 , 143 , 148 – 154 ). From the single-country studies, majority were done in Nigeria ( n = 17) ( 24 , 25 , 28 , 29 , 34 , 45 , 54 , 64 , 72 , 75 , 92 , 93 , 103 , 113 , 116 , 124 , 137 ) and South Africa ( n = 20) ( 10 , 26 , 36 , 42 , 55 , 65 , 80 – 83 , 86 , 88 , 89 , 91 , 98 , 105 , 110 , 125 , 129 , 135 ), followed by Uganda ( n = 10) ( 35 ,…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…There were 28 studies reporting the incidence of breast cancer in Sub-Saharan Africa. Ten of the studies were covering the whole of Africa or SSA; a systematic review ( 2 ), three cross-sectional GLOBOCAN studies ( 122 , 131 , 143 ), three cross-sectional studies of the WHO database ( 106 ), Global Burden of Disease Study ( 117 ) and registries ( 141 ), two retrospective record review of registries ( 87 , 117 ) and a retrospective cohort study ( 69 ). In South Africa, there were three incidence studies on breast cancer; two retrospective record reviews of registries ( 89 ) and mammograms ( 98 ) and a cross-sectional study of the Statistics South Africa registry ( 135 ).…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…A total of 12 studies considered other measures of breast cancer burden; mortality was measured by nine studies ( 46 , 48 , 69 , 98 , 117 , 129 , 139 , 143 , 144 ). DALYs were reported by four incidence studies ( 46 , 69 , 117 , 119 ). One study reported quality of life ( 156 ) and another reported economic burden ( 142 ).…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 2 more Smart Citations

Mapping Evidence on the Burden of Breast, Cervical, and Prostate Cancers in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Scoping Review

Musekiwa

Moyo²,

Mohammed³

et al. 2022

Front. Public Health

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

BackgroundCancer remains a major public health problem, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) where the provision of health care is poor. This scoping review mapped evidence in the literature regarding the burden of cervical, breast and prostate cancers in SSA.MethodsWe conducted this scoping review using the Arksey and O'Malley framework, with five steps: identifying the research question; searching for relevant studies; selecting studies; charting the data; and collating, summarizing, and reporting the data. We performed all the steps independently and resolved disagreements through discussion. We used Endnote software to manage references and the Rayyan software to screen studies.ResultsWe found 138 studies that met our inclusion criteria from 2,751 studies identified through the electronic databases. The majority were retrospective studies of mostly registries and patient files (n = 77, 55.8%), followed by cross-sectional studies (n = 51, 36.9%). We included studies published from 1990 to 2021, with a sharp increase from 2010 to 2021. The quality of studies was overall satisfactory. Most studies were done in South Africa (n = 20) and Nigeria (n = 17). The majority were on cervical cancer (n = 93, 67.4%), followed by breast cancer (67, 48.6%) and the least were on prostate cancer (48, 34.8%). Concerning the burden of cancer, most reported prevalence and incidence. We also found a few studies investigating mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and years of life lost (YLL).ConclusionsWe found many retrospective record review cross-sectional studies, mainly in South Africa and Nigeria, reporting the prevalence and incidence of cervical, breast and prostate cancer in SSA. There were a few systematic and scoping reviews. There is a scarcity of cervical, breast and prostate cancer burden studies in several SSA countries. The findings in this study can inform policy on improving the public health systems and therefore reduce cancer incidence and mortality in SSA.

show abstract

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 1 more Smart Citation

Mapping Evidence on the Burden of Breast, Cervical, and Prostate Cancers in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Scoping Review

Musekiwa

Moyo²,

Mohammed³

et al. 2022

Front. Public Health

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Correspondingly, this study shows that mortality is predicted to increase with age, particularly among 80–84 years old in all the East and South Asian countries. Previous studies have also identified mortality risk increases with age with a peak of breast cancer-related mortality at approximately 85 years ( 1 , 4 , 24 , 53 ).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 95%

Breast Cancer Mortality Trends and Predictions to 2030 and Its Attributable Risk Factors in East and South Asian Countries

et al. 2022

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

BackgroundAmidst the rising breast cancer burden in Asia, we aim to predict the future mortality risk due to breast cancer and identify the risk-attributable deaths for breast cancer among East and South Asian countries.MethodsWe used country-level data to predict the trends in the next decade relating to female breast cancer mortality by employing data from 1990 to 2019 from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study. We used the stochastic mortality modeling and prediction techniques to forecast the age-specific and risk-attributable breast cancer mortality trends at the regional and national levels of East and South Asia.ResultsThe number of deaths caused by the breast cancer is predicted to increase in East and South Asian countries in the next decade (2020–2030). Age-standardized death rate (ASDR) of breast cancer is predicted to increase by 7.0% from 9.20/100,000 (95% CI: 6.04–12.12) in 1990 to 9.88/100,000 (95% CI: 7.12–11.4) in 2030 in East Asia, and about 35% increase from 13.4/100,000 (95% CI: 9.21–16.02) in 1990 to 18.1/100,000 (95% CI: 13.23–21.10) in 2030 in South Asia. At the national level, the highest percent change in ASDR between 1990 and 2030 was reported in Pakistan (a 62% increase) and Nepal (a 47% increase). The highest percent change in breast cancer mortality between 2020 and 2030 for females of age group 80–84 years was observed in Pakistan [21.6, (95% CI, 20.6–94.7)], followed by Afghanistan [13.3 (4.0–80.8)], and Nepal [36.6 (11.1–125.7)] as compared to the other countries. In the females of aged 50–80 years, the predicted death rates were associated with high body mass index, high-fasting plasma glucose, and diet high in red meat, across the majority of countries under study. Furthermore, reductions in percent change in mortality rates occurred in several countries with increases in sociodemographic index (SDI), notably across high SDI countries.ConclusionBreast cancer mortality risk varies substantially across East and South Asian countries with higher mortality risk in low/middle SDI countries. Early detection using screening, awareness among females and health workers, and cost-effective and timely treatment of patients with breast cancer is vital in stemming the tide of breast cancer in the next decade.

show abstract

“…The survival rate for BC has been improved in developed countries (79%) as compared to developing countries (57%) possibly due to logistical and economical constraints ( 12 , 13 ). In conclusion, BC illustrates as the major health issue with alarming situations in Asia ( 2 , B14 , B15 ).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 91%

Lifestyle and Socioeconomic Transition and Health Consequences of Breast Cancer in the East Asia Region, From 1990 to 2019

et al. 2022

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

BackgroundDue to its higher prevalence and heterogeneity, female breast cancer (BC) is the widest disease throughout the world. We sought to assess the epidemiological and sociodemographic transitions of BC and to identify the potential risk factors attributed to burden of BC in East Asia.MethodsAt the regional level of East Asia and at a national level of East Asian countries, we investigated the burden of the incidence of female BC, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) in 2019 and assessed the epidemiological, socioeconomic, and health-linked disparities in incidence of BC and mortality over a 30-year period. The changes in BC’s mortality and DALYs between 1990 and 2019, attributable to varying risk factors, were evaluated in different age groups.ResultsIn 2019, the incidence of and mortality from and DALYs of BC were estimated to be 382,321 (95% UI: 303,308–477,173) incidence cases [age-standardized rate (ASR) of 35.69 per 100,000; 28.32–44.54], 98,162 (79,216–120,112) deaths (ASR of 9.12; 7.36–11.13), and 3,024,987 (2,477, 984–3,659,370) DALYs with an ASR of 282.15 (230.81–341.19) in 2019. It was also observed that out of four most representative locations of East Asia, two (China and Japan) showed more than 60% increase in age-standardized incidence rate between 1990 and 2019. While only Japan females showed a significant rise of 15.3% (95% UI: 2.3–28) in ASR of death and 12.6% (95% UI: 0.5–26.9) in ASR of DALYs between 1990 and 2019. Inclusively, 88 and 81% variations were explained in the incidence of BC and death due to change in sociodemographic index (SDI) in 2019, in East Asia. The highest positive percent changes in death and DALYs between 1990 and 2019 were attributable to high body mass index (BMI), high fasting plasma glucose (FPG), and alcohol consumption in East Asia.ConclusionThe burden of death and disability from female BC is the result of multiple risk factors, mainly due to behavioral and metabolic risk factors. The increase of the incidence is related to the westernized lifestyle and diet habits and the improvement of screening and diagnosis techniques in the recent years, whereas the increase in DALYs is mainly attributed to high BMI, high FPG, alcohol use, and high diet in red meat.

show abstract

Epidemiological and sociodemographic transitions of female breast cancer incidence, death, case fatality and DALYs in 21 world regions and globally, from 1990 to 2017: An Age-Period-Cohort Analysis

Cited by 41 publications

References 41 publications

Mapping Evidence on the Burden of Breast, Cervical, and Prostate Cancers in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Scoping Review

Mapping Evidence on the Burden of Breast, Cervical, and Prostate Cancers in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Scoping Review

Breast Cancer Mortality Trends and Predictions to 2030 and Its Attributable Risk Factors in East and South Asian Countries

Lifestyle and Socioeconomic Transition and Health Consequences of Breast Cancer in the East Asia Region, From 1990 to 2019

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About