2008
DOI: 10.1186/1475-2875-7-140
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Epochal changes in the association between malaria epidemics and El Niño in Sri Lanka

Abstract: Background: El Niño events were suggested as a potential predictor for malaria epidemics in Sri Lanka based on the coincidence of nine out of 16 epidemics with El Niño events from 1870 to 1945. Here the potential for the use of El Niño predictions to anticipate epidemics was examined using enhanced climatic and epidemiological data from 1870 to 2000.

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Cited by 15 publications
(15 citation statements)
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“…Low rainfall creates pockets of water, which favours breeding of larvae unlike torrential rains which washes away larval breeding sites of the major malaria vectors in PNG. The association between rainfall patterns and malaria transmission has previously been investigated thoroughly [22,23] and shown once again in this study.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 53%
“…Low rainfall creates pockets of water, which favours breeding of larvae unlike torrential rains which washes away larval breeding sites of the major malaria vectors in PNG. The association between rainfall patterns and malaria transmission has previously been investigated thoroughly [22,23] and shown once again in this study.…”
Section: Discussionsupporting
confidence: 53%
“…Apart from the title, there was no mention of El Niño in the body of the paper, which is symptomatic of the opportunism displayed in some analyses that purport to report on ENSO malaria associations. Zubair et al [57] reported an association between ENSO phases and malaria for Sri Lanka for the period 1878-2000 that changed over time. Malaria epidemics were associated with El Niño phases over the period of 1880 to 1927.…”
Section: Malariamentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Dengue (20)(21)(22)(23)(24)(25)(26)(27)(28) Malaria (29)(30)(31)(32) Leishmaniosis (33) Bartonelosis (34) Enfermedades zoonóticas…”
Section: Grupo De Enfermedades Transmitidas Por Vectoresunclassified