Equality of Opportunity and Equality of Outcome: Open Leagues, Closed Leagues and Competitive Balance

Buzzacchi, Luigi; Szymanski, Stefan; Valletti, Tommaso

doi:10.1057/9780230274273_5

Cited by 45 publications

(65 citation statements)

References 8 publications

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“…This approach provides better results in the point systems in which the winnner gets two points and one for draws. Buzzacchi et al (2003) employed this approach recently.…”

Section: Standard Deviation Ratio Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

Research on the Prediction of the likely Winners of the Euro 2008 Football Tournament

Halıcıoğlu¹

2009

Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports

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The objective of this research is to provide a statistical measurement to predict the likely winners of international football tournaments with particular reference to the Euro 2008 football tournament. This research argues that there exists a positive relationship between the competitive balance and success in international football tournaments. The level of the competitive balance in a domestic football league is measured by the seasonal coefficients of variation (CV) of the end-of-season points. The CV values are employed as ranking indicators between the contesting countries in international football tournaments to predict the likely winners. The seasonal CV values are computed from the top divison football leagues of participating countries of Euro 1996, Euro 2000, Euro 2004, and Euro 2008 order to rank and to predict the likely winner of these tournaments. The results indicate that the higher the level of domestic competition the better chance of winning an international football tournament. The CV ranking is also compared to UEFA ranking and to the odds of some well known bookmakers in predicting the likely winners of the Euro 2008 football tournament. On the basis of the overall results, this research predicts that the likely winners of the Euro 2008 football tournament would be France, Spain or Germany.

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“…This approach provides better results in the point systems in which the winnner gets two points and one for draws. Buzzacchi et al (2003) employed this approach recently.…”

Section: Standard Deviation Ratio Approachmentioning

confidence: 99%

Research on the Prediction of the likely Winners of the Euro 2008 Football Tournament

Halıcıoğlu¹

2009

Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports

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“…The literature identifies three different levels of uncertainty of outcome (UO): for a match, a season and a championship (see e.g. Szymanski, 2003;Buzzacchi et al, 2003;Goossens, 2006). Most studies have focused on uncertainty of outcome for a particular match or season.…”

Section: Empirical Evidencementioning

confidence: 99%

It is Harder, Not Easier, to Predict the Winner of the Champions League

Schokkaert

Swinnen

2013

SSRN Journal

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Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen:Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden.Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen.Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. Terms of use: Documents in EconStor may This version: March 2013Abstract European Cup football has experienced a major change in format with the introduction of the Champions League in 1992 and a major change in admission rules with direct qualification for multiple teams from the highest ranked leagues in 1999. We show that, in line with popular press reports and other studies, qualification in lower rounds has become more predictable in the Champions League. At the same time, however, outcomes at later stages have become less predictable. We provide evidence and an explanation. JEL Classification: L83

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“…Exceptional ones are seen in the studies of Humphreys (2002) and Buzzachi et al (2003). The former notes that variations in winning percentages over a number of seasons can be measured in two different ways one of which is to do it within season variations in winning percentages of different teams, while the other is within season variation in winning percentages across all teams.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…These are then combined into a competitive balance ratio proving statistically significant. Buzzachi et al (2003) consider the cumulative frequency of teams entering the top k ranks of a league (ordered by win percentages), but expansion of leagues in North America and changes in the composition of teams through promotion and relegation in Europe confuse the picture (Sloane, 2006).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

30 Years Trend of Competitive Balance in Turkish Football Super League

Inan¹

2017

JETS

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We must point out that the results of football games affect the competitive balance degree. In other words, the calculations we made in the score table at the end of the season give us a degree of competitive balance. The degree on which the concept of competitiveness is based is cited as competitive balance in football. Sports economics can be defined as the degree to which overall league attendances are raised by such measures as media effect, home advantage, income sharing, all of which aim to strengthen the competitive balance. The aim of this study was to gauge the competitive balance in Turkish football league. Using long term competitive balance analysis, some of the matters encountered and possible precautions to be taken were approached in a way that can discuss the mentioned subjects throughout the 1987-2017 seasons in Turkish Football Super League (TSL). The present study examined the way that competitive balance level followed in the history of super league (30 years). For this purpose, C5 Competitive Balance Index (C5CBI) and a Herfindahl index of competitive balance (HICB) were benefited. Finally, competitive balance factor was observed to have occured time to time; however, when looked in terms of total, a view apart from competitive balance can be clearly seen.

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Equality of Opportunity and Equality of Outcome: Open Leagues, Closed Leagues and Competitive Balance

Cited by 45 publications

References 8 publications

Research on the Prediction of the likely Winners of the Euro 2008 Football Tournament

Research on the Prediction of the likely Winners of the Euro 2008 Football Tournament

It is Harder, Not Easier, to Predict the Winner of the Champions League

30 Years Trend of Competitive Balance in Turkish Football Super League

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