Objective
To determine the relationship between biochemical markers involved in bone turnover and bone features on imaging in knees with osteoarthritis (OA).
Methods
We analysed data from the OA Biomarkers Consortium within the Osteoarthritis Initiative (n=600). Bone marrow lesions (BMLs), osteophytes, subchondral bone area (mm2) and shape (position on 3D vector) were assessed on MRIs and bone trabecular integrity (BTI) was assessed on radiographs. Serum (s) and urinary (u) markers (sCTX-I, sNTX-I, uNTX-I, uCTX-II, uCTX-I alpha and beta) were measured. The associations between biochemical and imaging markers at baseline and over 24 months were assessed using regression models adjusted for covariates.
Results
At baseline, most biochemical markers were associated with BMLs, with c-statistics for the presence/absence of any BML ranging from 0.675 to 0.688. At baseline, uCTX-II was the marker most consistently associated with BMLs (odds of having ≥ 5 subregions affected compared to no BML increasing by 1.92-fold [95% CI 1.25, 2.96] per 1 SD of uCTX-II), large osteophytes (OR 1.39 [1.10, 1.77]), bone area and shape (highest partial R2 0.032), and changes in bone shape over 24 months (partial R2 from 0.008 to 0.024). Overall, biochemical markers were not predictive of changes in BMLs or osteophytes. Serum NTX-I was inversely associated with BTI of the vertical trabeculae (quadratic slope) in all analyses (highest partial R2 0.028).
Conclusions
We found multiple significant associations, albeit most were weak. The role of systemic biochemical markers as predictors of individual bone anatomic features of single knees is limited based on our findings.