Estimated incidence of tuberculosis by capture-recapture in the Balearic Islands, 2010–2012

Giménez-Duran, Jaume; Galmés-Truyols, Antònia; Gonzalez-Cortijo, T.; Bosch-Isabel, Catalina; Nicolau-Riutort, Antonio; S, de Mateo-Ontañón

doi:10.5588/ijtld.14.0251

Cited by 3 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…Finally, under-reporting of TB may have led to an underestimation of TB burden. Recent studies from England [25], Greece [26] and regions within Italy [27], the Netherlands [28], Romania [29] and Spain [30] have estimated under-reporting to range between 15% and 80%. One of these studies, however, found that underreporting applied less to migrants than the native population (18% vs 68%) [27].…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The effect of migration within the European Union/European Economic Area on the distribution of tuberculosis, 2007 to 2013

et al. 2016

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Immigration from tuberculosis (TB) high-incidence countries is known to contribute notably to the TB burden in low-incidence countries. However, the effect of migration enabled by the free movement of persons within the European Union (EU)/European Economic Area (EEA) on TB notification has not been analysed. We analysed TB surveillance data from 29 EU/EEA countries submitted for the years 2007-2013 to The European Surveillance System. We used place of birth and nationality as proxy indicators for native, other EU/EEA and non-EU/EEA origin of the TB cases and analysed the characteristics of the subgroups by origin. From 2007-2013, a total of 527,467 TB cases were reported, of which 129,781 (24.6%) were of foreign origin including 12,566 (2.4%) originating from EU/EEA countries other than the reporting country. The countries reporting most TB cases originating from other EU/EEA countries were Germany and Italy, and the largest proportion of TB cases in individuals came from Poland (n=1,562) and Romania (n=6,285). At EU/ EEA level only a small proportion of foreign TB cases originated from other EU/EEA countries, however, the uneven distribution of this presumed importation may pose a challenge to TB programmes in some countries.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The effect of migration within the European Union/European Economic Area on the distribution of tuberculosis, 2007 to 2013

et al. 2016

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“…It was originally used in ecology to determine the number of animals in a specified area (3,4). Recently, these methods have widely been used to estimate incidence and prevalence of health related outcomes (5)(6)(7)(8) and to evaluate the sensitivity of surveillance or registry systems (9)(10)(11). There are four assumptions on which this method is based: first, the population should be closed that means no change should occur in the size or structure of the population during study time; second, subjects should have equal probability of being captured in given sources; third, sources should act independently that means being captured by one source should not affect the probability of being captured by other sources; and four, there must be sufficient information to make a perfect linkage among sources (2,12,13).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Application of Capture-Recapture Method to Estimate Traffic Accident Mortality Rate

Entezami¹,

Hashemi-Nazar²,

Soori³

et al. 2017

Trauma Mon

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Background: In many countries, disease registries are the main source of information that is necessary for planning and monitoring health-improving programs. In Iran, there is no unified registry system for deaths due to traffic accidents, so organizations that are involved in traffic accidents report different statistics. This study aimed at estimation of traffic accident mortality rate and completeness of death registries in Northern provinces of Iran from March 21, 2010 to March 20, 2011 using capture-recapture method. Methods: Attributes of all traffic accident victims including their first name, last name, age, sex, and date of death enrolled by traffic police department, legal medicine organization, and hospitals were used to count the number of cases that were captured by one, two or all the three aforementioned organizations. Then, different log-linear models proposed in the context of capture-recapture method were fitted to predict the number of cases missed by the three sources. Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC) were used as goodness of fit indices to identify preferred fitted models. Results: According to the prediction of the most fitted model, the total number of traffic accident deaths was 3857 of which, 727 cases were not captured by any of the responsible organizations. Mortality rate due to traffic accidents was estimated as 53.73 with 95% confidence interval (52.41 -55.15) per 100000 population of the three provinces. Coverage rates of legal medicine organization, hospitals, and traffic police department were 65.95%, 36.06%, and 16.85%, respectively. Conclusions: Incidence rate of fatal traffic accidents in Northern provinces of Iran is higher in comparison with other provinces. Besides, it seems that statistics reported by responsible organizations like legal medicine organization, traffic police department, and hospitals are underestimated, so it highlights the need for application of methods like capture-recapture to correct for this underestimation.

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Capture - recapture based study on the completeness of smear positive pulmonary tuberculosis reporting in southwest Iran during 2016

et al. 2021

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Background Tuberculosis (TB) is one of the ten leading causes of death in infectious diseases and one of the ten leading causes of death in the world. For any TB control program, a valid surveillance is essential. In order to assess the status of the assessment, the quality of the record and the completeness of reporting should be assessed. The purpose of this study was to investigate the completeness of smear positive pulmonary tuberculosis reporting in Ahvaz, south west of Iran. Methods This cross-sectional study was conducted in 2016 in Ahvaz, southwest Iran. The study was conducted through a three-source Capture recapture method by collecting laboratory, hospital, physician prescription data; including patient referral to the health care center, prescriptions of patients receiving anti-tuberculosis drugs and prescriptions of medical TB diagnostic laboratories, and laboratory prescriptions. Percentage, mean and standard deviation were used to describe the variables. Data analysis was performed using log-linear model in Rcapture package R software. Results Generally, 134 new cases of smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis patients were reported through three sources from urban and rural regions during 2016. Pulmonary tuberculosis was reported through three sources from urban and rural regions during 2016. The most common age group was 25 to 44 years and 79.1% of the patient were man. The overall prevalence of new cases of smear-positive pulmonary tuberculosis was in persons that lived urban areas (97.8%). The completeness of reporting the disease estimated by log-linear model was 87.5% and the incidence rate was estimated to be 11.8 disease per 100,000 persons. Completeness of reporting of laboratory, hospital and physician resources were 79%, 30% and 16.3%, respectively. Conclusions The present study shows the necessity of evaluating the quality, completeness and linkage between data. Linking between data sources can improve the accuracy and completeness of TB surveillance.

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Estimated incidence of tuberculosis by capture-recapture in the Balearic Islands, 2010–2012

Abstract: The similarity of observed and estimated IR during the period 2010-2012 indicates the validity of the surveillance and the use of improved systems such as electronic medical records in recent years.

Cited by 3 publications

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The effect of migration within the European Union/European Economic Area on the distribution of tuberculosis, 2007 to 2013

The effect of migration within the European Union/European Economic Area on the distribution of tuberculosis, 2007 to 2013

Application of Capture-Recapture Method to Estimate Traffic Accident Mortality Rate

Capture - recapture based study on the completeness of smear positive pulmonary tuberculosis reporting in southwest Iran during 2016

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