Estimates of residual fibre supply and the impacts of new bioenergy capacity from a forest sector transportation model of the Canadian Prairie Provinces

Peter, Brian J.; Niquidet, Kurt

doi:10.1016/j.forpol.2016.05.003

Cited by 14 publications

(6 citation statements)

References 15 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…For example, a spatially explicit version of the FFSM was developed from the national model in order to account for variability in environmental conditions [71], and a subnational module was developed for the USA for the Global Forest Products Model [146]. Several new models were created for individual Canadian provinces [147,148], as well as for the Scandinavian region [37]. Several papers we reviewed use geographical information system software [121,149], and the newly developed LURA model uses plot-level forest data and individual plant-level data to produce a very spatially disaggregated model [150].…”

Section: Modelling Trends and Implicationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Evolving Integrated Models From Narrower Economic Tools: the Example of Forest Sector Models

Rivière

Caurla

Delacote

2020

Environ Model Assess

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Integrated simulation models are commonly used to provide insight on the complex functioning of social-ecological systems, often drawing on earlier tools with a narrower focus. Forest sector models (FSM) encompass a set of simulation models originally developed to forecast economic developments in timber markets but now commonly used to analyse climate and environmental policy. In this paper, we document and investigate this evolution through the prism of the inclusion of several non-timber objectives into FSM. We perform a systematic, quantitative survey of the literature followed by a more in-depth narrative review. Results show that a majority of papers in FSM research today focuses on non-timber objectives related to climate change mitigation, namely carbon sequestration and bioenergy production. Habitat conservation, deforestation and the mitigation of disturbances are secondary foci, while aspects such as forest recreation and many regulation services are absent. Non-timber objectives closest to the original targets of FSM, as well as those for which economic values are easier to estimate, have been more deeply integrated to the models, entering the objective function as decision variables. Others objectives are usually modelled as constraints and only considered through their negative economic impacts on the forest sector. Current limits to a deeper inclusion of non-timber objectives include the models' ability to represent local environmental conditions as well as the formulation of the optimisation problem as a maximisation of economic welfare. Recent research has turned towards the use of model couplings and the development of models at the local scale to overcome these limitations. Challenges for future research comprise extensions to other non-timber objectives, especially cultural services, as well as model calibration at lower spatial scales.

show abstract

Section: Modelling Trends and Implicationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Evolving Integrated Models From Narrower Economic Tools: the Example of Forest Sector Models

Rivière

Caurla

Delacote

2020

Environ Model Assess

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…In the countries of the European Union growing prices for oil-fuel have led to increase of number of pellet boilers in households. The Canadian specialists [14] consider processing of the low-quality raw wood for pellets as a mean of increasing complexity, all-round utilization of raw woods, which allows to stop short of transporting chipped wood. The analyses of wood granulates (pellets) market on the base of the structural model conducted in the work [15] has shown that European demand for wood granulates is growing faster and is more sustainable than offer.…”

Section: Logging Industry and Timber Manufacturing Industrymentioning

confidence: 99%

Timber Sector: Forecasts and Strategies

Blam

Mashkina

2019

Interexpo GEO-Siberia

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The authors analyze the information base of the elaborated forecasts and strategies for the timber complex development from the viewpoint of the territorial differentiation in resources and infrastructure availability. The structure of the harvested timber is aligned with the volume and quality characteristics of the wood assortments needed for production of the forecasted types of the final forest product. It is confirmed that the volume of the small-scale wood substance and waste products formed under clean cutting and also under production of board lumber and plywood, cannot be completely utilized within the production of slab materials and pellets. And in the eastern regions when the benefits for transportation to the European countries are cancelled it is unprofitable to process them. The article also gives estimation of the inner market forecast for the main types of forest products which has been attained with the calculations on the base of the inter-regional model , in comparison with the hypothesis built-in the Strategies of the timber complex development. The analysis is given for the main reasons of not fulfilling the tasks which have been put forward under developing the Strategies connected with the changes of the institutional and economic conditions of the timber complex functioning. Also, inflated expectations for the wooden house constructions are noted in the article.

show abstract

“…С точки зрения эффективности использования заготавливаемого лесосырья производство пеллет играет важную роль. Канадские специалисты [8] рассматривают переработку низкокачественного древесного сырья на пеллеты важным фактором повышения комплексности использования лесосырья, позволяющим отказаться от перевозки неиспользованного на месте лесозаготовки древесного волокна в виде щепы.…”

Section: лесной комплекс россии и международный рынок лесопродукцииunclassified

Forming-up Hierarchical Set of Models: Developing Strategy for Industry Specific Sector

Blam¹,

Mashkina²

2018

WEM

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Институт экономики и организации промышленного производства СО РАН Новосибирский национальный исследовательский государственный университет Новосибирск, Россия Аннотация Комплекс моделей прогнозирования развития отрасли рассмотрен с глобальных позиций и основан, с одной стороны, на использовании модификаций народнохозяйственной модели (ОМММ), а с точки зрения локального подхода-на традиционных моделях производственно-транспортного типа в натуральных показателях. Нисходящий переход от одного типа моделей к другому проводится поэтапно и содержит ряд «промежуточных» моделей. Каждый этап характеризуется большей детализацией отраслевых показателей, первоначально стоимостных, а затем и натуральных. Сделан переход от народнохозяйственной модели на максимум конечного потребления к структуре отраслевой модели на минимум затрат при фиксированном уровне спроса, полученном при решении модели верхнего уровня. Данный переход основан на идеях построения «взаимных» задач. Приведены комментарии к обоснованию разработанной Минпромторгом Стратегии развития лесного комплекса РФ до 2030 г. Ключевые слова народнохозяйственная модель, производственно-транспортная модель, взаимные задачи, стратегия развития, лесной комплекс Источник финансирования Статья подготовлена в рамках государственного задания по плану НИР ИЭОПП СО РАН проект XI.171.1.1 «Разработка, апробация и применение в теоретических и прикладных исследованиях программно-методических комплексов и информационных систем анализа и прогнозирования социально-экономических процессов» АААА-А17-117022250129-2 Для цитирования Блам Ю. Ш., Машкина Л. В. Построение иерархического набора моделей: от стоимостной ОМММ к отраслевой модели в натуральных показателях // Мир экономики и управления. 2018. Т. 18, № 4. С. 126-139.

show abstract

Estimates of residual fibre supply and the impacts of new bioenergy capacity from a forest sector transportation model of the Canadian Prairie Provinces

Cited by 14 publications

References 15 publications

Evolving Integrated Models From Narrower Economic Tools: the Example of Forest Sector Models

Evolving Integrated Models From Narrower Economic Tools: the Example of Forest Sector Models

Timber Sector: Forecasts and Strategies

Forming-up Hierarchical Set of Models: Developing Strategy for Industry Specific Sector

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About