Estimating crashes involving heavy vehicles in Western Australia, 1999–2000: A capture–recapture method

Meuleners, Lynn; Lee, Andy H.; Cercarelli, Lucia; Legge, Matthew

doi:10.1016/j.aap.2005.09.003

Cited by 21 publications

(28 citation statements)

References 23 publications

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“…In epidemiological applications, the method is useful for assessing the accuracy of surveillance systems, and providing more accurate rates than those derived from stand alone or aggregated data sources (Meuleners et al 2006). The capture-recapture method has been used extensively in biological sciences and medicine for estimating difficult to count populations ).…”

Section: )mentioning

confidence: 99%

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Assessing Quality of Existing Data Sources on Road Traffic Injuries (RTIs) and Their Utility in Informing Injury Prevention in the Western Cape Province, South Africa

Chokotho

Matzopoulos

Myers

2013

Traffic Injury Prevention

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THESIS ABSTRACTThe burden of Road Traffic Injuries (RTIs) disproportionately affects low and middleincome countries (LMICs). For instance, 85% of the global deaths and 90% of the annual Disability Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) attributed to RTIs occur in LMICs (Peden et al. 2004), which account for less than 40% of the world's vehicles . In South Africa injuries are among the principal contributors to the quadruple burden of disease, with the other contributors being maternal, women and child health problems; HIV and tuberculosis; and emerging chronic diseases of lifestyle . In 2000, RTIs were the second leading cause of injuries after interpersonal violence and were responsible for 6.9% premature mortality in the Western Cape Province, 40%higher than the national figure of 5% (Matzopoulos et al. 2008). Good quality, reliable data are necessary to determine the magnitude of the problem and to identify the areas requiring prioritization for intervention as well as evaluating effectiveness of interventions. The aim of this study was to assess whether the quality of the RTI data collected by the South African Police Service (SAPS) and mortuaries was sufficient for determining the burden of RTIs in the Western Cape province, and for implementing and monitoring road safety interventions.Under-reporting was assessed by comparing data reported by the police in 2008, with data from 18 provincial mortuaries. Completeness (i.e. the proportion of the total estimated fatalities captured by each dataset) was assessed using two sample capture-recapture method and the local applicability of this method was also assessed. Lastly, the study identified practical measures to enhance the quality and improve the utility of provincial road traffic injury information.The provincial road traffic mortality rates calculated from mortuary and police datasets were: This study found extensive data quality problems which need to be addressed in order to improve data utility for informing road safety policies.

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Section: )mentioning

confidence: 99%

“…One of the assumptions is that the data sources used should be independent (Meuleners et al 2006, Morrison et al 2000). Lack of independence will result in an increased number of matches and consequently underestimation of the total number of deaths.…”

Section: )mentioning

confidence: 99%

Assessing Quality of Existing Data Sources on Road Traffic Injuries (RTIs) and Their Utility in Informing Injury Prevention in the Western Cape Province, South Africa

Chokotho

Matzopoulos

Myers

2013

Traffic Injury Prevention

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“…The increasing interest in using the capture-recapture method in road safety is reflected in an ample body of literature, accumulated since the 1990's (e.g., Razzak & Luby, 1998;Morrison & Stone, 2000;Tercero & Andersson, 2004;Meuleners et al, 2006;Amoros et al, 2007;Lateef, 2010;Hassel et al, 2011;Thomas et al, 2012;Tin et al, 2012). Most studies focused on a small subgroup of road users or specific crashes, such as road crashes with work-related vehicles (Thomas et al, 2012), cyclist or pedestrian involved crashes (Tin et al, 2012;Dhillon et al, 2001;Roberts & Scragg, 1994), heavy vehicles involved crashes (Meuleners et al, 2006), road crashes involving children or young people (Roberts & Scragg, 1994;Morrison & Stone, 2000;Dhillon et al, 2001), fatal crashes (Lateef, 2010) or serious injury crashes (Amoros et al, 2007).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Most studies focused on a small subgroup of road users or specific crashes, such as road crashes with work-related vehicles (Thomas et al, 2012), cyclist or pedestrian involved crashes (Tin et al, 2012;Dhillon et al, 2001;Roberts & Scragg, 1994), heavy vehicles involved crashes (Meuleners et al, 2006), road crashes involving children or young people (Roberts & Scragg, 1994;Morrison & Stone, 2000;Dhillon et al, 2001), fatal crashes (Lateef, 2010) or serious injury crashes (Amoros et al, 2007). Only a few studies include all injuries group and all types of road users (Martinez et al, 2012;Tercero & Andersson, 2004;Aptel et al, 1999).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Understanding traffic crash under-reporting: Linking police and medical records to individual and crash characteristics

Janstrup

Kaplan

Hels

et al. 2016

Traffic Injury Prevention

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While national crash databases are a valuable resource for the analysis of crash frequency and severity, these databases consist of police reports that are known to be heavily under-reported. This study aligns to the body of research dedicated to estimating the under-reporting rate of crashes by employing the capture-recapture method on available medical and police records. Data consist of records of road users who reported their involvement in a road crash to the police or emergency rooms on the island of Funen in Denmark between 2003 and 2007. Moreover, this study estimates the likelihood for road users reported in police records to appear in hospital records (and vice versa) by estimating joint binary logit models. Results show that the likelihood of appearing in both datasets is positively related to helmet and seat-belt use, number of motor vehicles involved, alcohol involvement, higher speeds and lane number, and females injured. Marital status and education level are not found to be associated with the probability of reporting both to the hospital and the police.

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“…In road safety research a simple estimator called the Lincoln-Petersen (L-P) is often used to estimate the total population of fatalities or injuries based on the records on two lists, usually police and a medical source. Examples of its use in safety research include Amoros et al(2007), Meuleners et al(2006), Tercero & Anderson (2004), Morrison & Stone (2000), Razzak & Luby (1998). The four conditions for correct use of the L-P estimator are that the population is closed, that there is perfect identification of individuals, that the samples are independent and that in each sample the selection probability is constant (IWGDMF, 1995).…”

Section: Capture-recapture Estimatesmentioning

confidence: 99%

Record linkage for road traffic injuries in Ireland using police hospital and injury claims data

Short

Caulfield

2016

Journal of Safety Research

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The study of non-fatal road traffic injuries is growing in importance. Since there are rarely comprehensive injury datasets, it is necessary to combine different sources to obtain better estimates on the extent and nature of the problem. Record linkage is one such technique. In this study, anonymised datasets from three separate sources of injury data in Ireland -hospitals, police and injury claims are linked using probabilistic and deterministic linkage techniques. A method is proposed that creates a 'best' set of linked records for analysis, useful when clerical review of undecided cases is not feasible. The linkage of police and hospital datasets shows results that are not dissimilar to those found in other countries, with significant police understatement especially of cyclist and motorcyclist injuries. The addition of the third dataset identifies a large number of additional injuries and demonstrates the error of using only the two main sources for injury data. The study also underlines the risk in relying on the LincolnPetersen capture-recapture estimator to provide an estimate of the total population concerned. The data show that road traffic injuries are significantly more numerous than either police or hospital sources indicate. It is also argued that no single measure can fully capture the range of impacts that a serious injury entails. Record Linkage for Road Traffic Injuries in Ireland using Record Linkage for Road Traffic Injuries in Ireland using Police Hospital and Injury Claims Data ABSTRACTThe study of non-fatal road traffic injuries is growing in importance. Since there are rarely comprehensive injury datasets, it is necessary to combine different sources to obtain better estimates on the extent and nature of the problem. Record linkage is one such technique. In this study, anonymised datasets from three separate sources of injury data in Ireland -hospitals, police and injury claims are linked using probabilistic and deterministic linkage techniques. A method is proposed that creates a 'best' set of linked records for analysis, useful when clerical review of undecided cases is not feasible. The linkage of police and hospital datasets shows results that are not dissimilar to those found in other countries, with significant police understatement especially of cyclist and motorcyclist injuries. The addition of the third dataset identifies a large number of additional injuries and demonstrates the error of using only the two main sources for injury data. The study also underlines the risk in relying on the Lincoln-Petersen capture-recapture estimator to provide an estimate of the total population concerned. The data show that road traffic injuries are significantly more numerous than either police or hospital sources indicate. It is also argued that no single measure can fully capture the range of impacts that a serious injury entails.

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Estimating crashes involving heavy vehicles in Western Australia, 1999–2000: A capture–recapture method

Cited by 21 publications

References 23 publications

Assessing Quality of Existing Data Sources on Road Traffic Injuries (RTIs) and Their Utility in Informing Injury Prevention in the Western Cape Province, South Africa

Assessing Quality of Existing Data Sources on Road Traffic Injuries (RTIs) and Their Utility in Informing Injury Prevention in the Western Cape Province, South Africa

Understanding traffic crash under-reporting: Linking police and medical records to individual and crash characteristics

Record linkage for road traffic injuries in Ireland using police hospital and injury claims data

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