2020
DOI: 10.1609/aaai.v34i04.6110
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Estimating Early Fundraising Performance of Innovations via Graph-Based Market Environment Model

Abstract: Well begun is half done. In the crowdfunding market, the early fundraising performance of the project is a concerned issue for both creators and platforms. However, estimating the early fundraising performance before the project published is very challenging and still under-explored. To that end, in this paper, we present a focused study on this important problem in a market modeling view. Specifically, we propose a Graph-based Market Environment model (GME) for estimating the early fundraising performance of … Show more

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Cited by 18 publications
(5 citation statements)
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“…Along with spectral graph convolution, directly performing graph convolution in the spatial domain was also investigated by many researchers [8,12]. Among them, graph attention networks [34] has aroused considerable research interest, since it adaptively specify weights to the neighbors of a node by attention mechanism [1,37].…”
Section: Related Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Along with spectral graph convolution, directly performing graph convolution in the spatial domain was also investigated by many researchers [8,12]. Among them, graph attention networks [34] has aroused considerable research interest, since it adaptively specify weights to the neighbors of a node by attention mechanism [1,37].…”
Section: Related Workmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…However, we still lack a sufficiently deep and quantitative exploration of the potential performance before the project sets up. There is a very recent work focused on how to predict the fund-raising performances of projects in the crowdfunding market [6]. However, in [6], the LSTM-modeled states undermine the possibility of model parallelizing, and the redundant information of propagation tree would depress the market evolution modeling.…”
Section: Online Crowdfundingmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…There is a very recent work focused on how to predict the fund-raising performances of projects in the crowdfunding market [6]. However, in [6], the LSTM-modeled states undermine the possibility of model parallelizing, and the redundant information of propagation tree would depress the market evolution modeling. Here we propose the novel MLP-based competitiveness quantification with prior knowledge and hierarchical updating algorithm to address these two issues respectively.…”
Section: Online Crowdfundingmentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…Active Learning. Active learning is a popular framework to alleviate data deficiency and it has been applied in many tasks [11,19,41,43]. Active learning framework starts with a small set of labeled data and a large set of unlabeled data.…”
Section: Related Workmentioning
confidence: 99%