2023
DOI: 10.3390/ijerph20054600
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Estimating Mode of Transport in Daily Mobility during the COVID-19 Pandemic Using a Multinomial Logistic Regression Model

Abstract: At the beginning of 2020 there was a spinning point in the travel behavior of people around the world because of the pandemic and its consequences. This paper analyzes the specific behavior of travelers commuting to work or school during the COVID-19 pandemic based on a sample of 2000 respondents from two countries. We obtained data from an online survey, applying multinomial regression analysis. The results demonstrate the multinomial model with an accuracy of almost 70% that estimates the most used modes of … Show more

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Cited by 7 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…Concerning the sustainability of supply chain firms, as expressed by the decision of customer firms to maintain the usage of 3PL services, our findings are aligned with the studies of Ji et al [54] and Nila and Roy [55], which refer to logistic services provider selection based on sustainability characteristics. Moreover, our research comes in terms of the increasing need for supply chain firms to predict their customers' demand for their services [56], as well as the prioritization and promotion of their sustainability through long-term relationships with their customers [57] and operational efficiency [58].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Concerning the sustainability of supply chain firms, as expressed by the decision of customer firms to maintain the usage of 3PL services, our findings are aligned with the studies of Ji et al [54] and Nila and Roy [55], which refer to logistic services provider selection based on sustainability characteristics. Moreover, our research comes in terms of the increasing need for supply chain firms to predict their customers' demand for their services [56], as well as the prioritization and promotion of their sustainability through long-term relationships with their customers [57] and operational efficiency [58].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The predictive model will employ the Logistic Regression algorithm to estimate the mobility gradient of hospitals in 2021, categorizing them into three classes: LOW, MEDIUM, and HIGH mobility, based on the distance patients travel to reach the hospital. This choice is supported by studies demonstrating the effectiveness of Logistic Regression in predicting mobility behaviors and health risks, such as the analysis of travel behavior during the COVID-19 pandemic [19] and the assessment of cardiovascular risk [32], highlighting its applicability in complex healthcare contexts.…”
Section: Prediction Modelmentioning
confidence: 95%
“…As the transportation system is complex and consists of numerous links, the failure of any link can lead to disruption of the entire transportation system. In the post-COVID-19 era, promoting the recovery of international multimodal transport can be a feasible solution to mitigate the risk of logistics disruption [1,2]. It is crucial to conduct research on the resilience and risk management of multimodal transport logistics in this area [3][4][5].…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%