Estimating sea level rise for Vietnam East Sea

Abstract

Sea level rise for Vietnam East Sea in the 21 st century was determined under both RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios. Changes in sea level of the Vietnam East Sea due to dynamic and thermosteric processes was estimated using results of different Atmosphere -Ocean General Circulation Model (AOGCMs) under the prescribed method in the IPCC's Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). Changes in sea level due to ice melting and land water storage was determined using a transfer function for global water balance based on the contribution of each sea level rise contributing component for different regions. Changes in sea level as a result of the vertical motion of the Earth's crust due to changes in the Earth's cryosphere was determined using the ICE5G models. The results showed that for the RCP 8.5 scenario, by the end of the 21 st century, the average sea level rise is 76 cm, with estimated values varying between 52 cm and 106 cm at the 5% and 95% confidence intervals, respectively. For the RCP 4.5 scenario, the average sea level rise is 52 cm, with values of 33 cm and 75 cm at the 5% and 95% confidence interval, respectively. The sea level rise scenario determined for the Vietnam East Sea is slightly higher in comparison with the globally estimated results in AR5.

Occupational, physical, sexual and mental health and violence among migrant and trafficked commercial fishers and seafarers from the Greater Mekong Subregion (GMS): systematic review

“…Eight of 11 papers on HIV/AIDS/sexual health were of good quality and focused on risk factors for HIV (Additional file 4 : Table S3). Six papers discussed migrant fishers’ risk behaviours in Thailand [ 18 – 23 ], while five papers discussed domestic fishers in Cambodia [ 24 , 25 ], Thailand [ 26 ] and Vietnam [ 27 , 28 ]. Among men who visited sex workers, condom use ranged from 75.6% [ 18 ] to 57% [ 24 ] although different timescales and populations hinder comparability.…”

“…Ohnmar et al found that younger age, low education, Mon ethnicity and being in Thailand for longer was associated with penile oil injections among migrant Burmese fishers [ 23 ]. Two studies reported that some fishers were injecting drug users which may be linked to HIV [ 18 , 28 ]. Being a migrant fisher/seafarer was associated with increased odds of ever being tested for HIV in one study [ 22 ], which Ford and Chamratrithirong suggested was linked to knowing someone who’d died of AIDS [ 21 ].…”

Valuing Mangrove Conservation Attributes in Red River Delta, Vietnam: A Choice Experiment Approach

“…Hypothetical setting In our choice experiment survey, respondents were presented with a series of scenarios or choice sets of mangrove preservation programs that described the hypothetical market for the attributes. The future climate change scenario (see Appendix) provided by the Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment (MONRE), Vietnam 2 , released in 2016, gave sea level, temperature rise trajectory, and minimum rainfall variation whereas the report by the XTNP's management board provided the estimated rate of mangrove degradation (Tran et al, 2016;Management Board of Xuan Thuy National Park, 2014). Our enumerators demonstrated clearly to respondents what would happen without feasible plans on restoration of mangrove ecosystem.…”

Stochastic Modelling Frameworks for Dragon Fruit Supply Chains in Vietnam under Uncertain Factors

“…In some instances, the total annual rainfall has been observed to be more than 20% lower than the long-term average, with certain years experiencing reductions exceeding 30% [24]. In additionally, according to research by Vinh and Huong [25] combined with forecasting models proposed by the Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment of Vietnam [26], drought and water shortage will become more and more serious; specifically, by 2050, there will be no shortage of water. There is still a significant drought area; by 2100, there will be only severe drought in Binh Thuan.…”