2020
DOI: 10.1186/s42269-020-00434-5
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Estimation of SIR model’s parameters of COVID-19 in Algeria

Abstract: Background The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is reported in Algeria on February 25th, 2020. Since then, the number is still increasing leading to a total number of 36,699 cases and 1333 deaths on August 12th, 2020. Thus, comprehension of the epidemic curve is very important to predict its evolution and subsequently adapt the best prevention strategies. In this way, the current study was conducted to estimate the parameters of the classical SIR model and to predict the peak of the COVID-19 epidemic in Alg… Show more

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Cited by 22 publications
(15 citation statements)
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“…Table 3 shows the values of R 0 obtained for each network. For COVID-19 different researchers find multiple values of R 0 between 1.3 and 3.5 [ 2 , 24 , 44 , 45 ].…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Table 3 shows the values of R 0 obtained for each network. For COVID-19 different researchers find multiple values of R 0 between 1.3 and 3.5 [ 2 , 24 , 44 , 45 ].…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The SIR model created by Kermack and McKendrick [1,2] is a representative compartment model for infectious diseases and is now commonly used even for COVID-19 [3][4][5][6][7][8][9][10][11][12][13]. The model consists of three compartments of 'Susceptible', 'Infected' and 'Removed' and is expressed by the following differential equations, which have not changed since Kermack and McKendrick [1]: dS(t)/dt= -βS(t) I(t)/N…”
Section: Contact Rate Between Infected and Susceptible In The Communitymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Kami menggunakan nilai awal variabel s(0) = 0, 997, v(0) = 0, i(0) = 0, 47 × 10 −3 , dan r(0) = 0, 27 × 10 −2 . Estimasi parameter dapat dilakukan dengan menggunakan pendekatan yang terdapat pada [28]. Nilai awal parameter yang digunakan dalam melakukan simulasi numerik dapat dilihat pada Tabel 1.…”
Section: Simulasi Numerikunclassified