Etiology and Prognostic Criteria for Liver Failure in Southeast China: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study Between 2018 and 2020

Abstract

Background: The prognosis of patients with liver failure (LF) depends significantly on the etiology and clinical indicators. This analysis of these basic indicators can help provide a basis for the study of predictive outcome indicators.Methods: We collected the data from multiple centers in Southeast China, including subclasses of acute liver failure (ALF), subacute liver failure (SLF), acute‐on‐chronic liver failure (ACLF), subacute‐on‐chronic liver failure (SALF), and chronic liver failure (CLF). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to screen for clinical indicators of nonsurvivors. We analyzed receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and cutoff values to assess the prognostic criteria.Results: Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is the leading etiology of patients with LF (64.52% (411/637)). SALF (41.36%) and CLF (32.30%) are the main subclasses of the hepatitis B virus–related liver failure (HBV‐LF) group and the non‐HBV–related LF group in Southeast China, respectively. Between 2018 and 2020, the incidence of HBV‐LF decreased significantly, ranging from 72.36% to 59.74%, and the spontaneous survival rates of patients with HBV‐LF were substantially lower than those of non‐HBV‐LF patients (36.43%~44.93% vs. 58.97%~63.64%). Infection and cirrhosis were the leading causes of death in both groups. The age and total bilirubin value of the nonsurvivors with HBV‐LF were significantly higher, and the number of days of hospitalization was significantly shorter than that of the survivors. The ages of the nonsurvivors in the non‐HBV‐LF group were significantly higher than those of the survivors. The prothrombin time–international normalized ratio (PT‐INR) is 2.05, 1.92, or 2.11, and antithrombin III (AT III) is 24.50%, which are proposed as prognostic criteria for the HBV‐SALF (hepatitis B virus–related subacute‐on‐chronic liver failure), non‐HBV‐SLF (non‐hepatitis B virus–related subacute liver failure), non‐HBV‐ACLF (non‐hepatitis B virus–related acute‐on‐chronic liver failure), and HBV‐ALF (hepatitis B virus–related acute liver failure) subclasses, respectively.Conclusions: The incidence of HBV‐LF is decreasing annually. AT III, as an independent prognostic criterion, has excellent discriminative ability for the outcomes of the HBV‐ALF subclass.