The aim of this case-control study was to examine if type-specific human papillomavirus (HPV) DNA geno-typing before and after treatment of high-grade cervical intra-epithelial neoplasia (CIN) improves prediction of recurring or persisting CIN 2 or 3 compared with follow-up cytology or high-risk (hr)HPV testing. Women with biopsy-proven recurrence of CIN 2 or 3 (cases) in a follow-up period of at least 24 months after treatment of high-grade CIN were compared with women without recurrence (controls). These cohorts were identified by a database search of the Riatol Laboratoria (Antwerp, Belgium). In a cohort of 823 women treated with conisation for high-grade CIN between January 2001 and December 2007, 21 patients with a histologically proven recurrence of CIN21 were identified. A group of women (n 5 42) from the same cohort without recurrence was randomly chosen. We found that hrHPV testing at 6 months post-treatment is significantly more sensitive compared with follow-up cytology (ratio: 1.31, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.10-1.54), but less specific (ratio: 0.85, 95% CI: 0.81-0.90) to predict failure of treatment. When compared with hrHPV testing, HPV geno-typing is more efficient (equal sensitivity, but higher specificity, ratio: 1.43, 95% CI: 1.280-1.62). When compared with follow-up cytology, HPV geno-typing is more sensitive (ratio: 1.31, 95% CI: 1.10-1.54) and more specific (ratio: 1.22, 95% CI: 1.14-1.36). All women who developed a recurrence tested positive for hrHPV. The negative predictive value in the absence of hrHPV DNA was 100%. Six months after treatment HPV genotyping is the most sensitive and specific method to predict recurrent or persistent CIN 2-3 in the next 24 months.There is now overwhelming evidence that a persistent infection with a high-risk human papillomavirus (hrHPV) is the key event in the development of cervical cancer and its precursor lesions, high-grade cervical intra-epithelial neoplasia (CIN 2).1-4 The diagnosis of high-grade CIN 2-3 carries a significant risk of developing invasive carcinoma if it is not detected early and left untreated.5 Conservative treatment with large loop excision of the transformation zone (LLETZ) or conisation is the standard procedure for high-grade CIN and usually results in a complete cure, but residual or recurrent disease still occurs on average in 10% of treated cases. 6 Most treatment failures occur during the first 2 years after surgery. Therefore, according to the current guidelines in most western countries, women who have been treated for CIN2þ, afterward remain under gynaecological surveillance, with cervical smears taken at 6, 12 and 24 months post-treatment.7 Later, they are seen annually until the last two smears read as normal.Various studies have investigated potential predictive factors to identify the women at risk for recurrent disease. These factors include size of the lesion, grade of dysplasia, age, incomplete removal of the lesion and immunosuppressive therapy.
8-11Since persistent cervical infection with hrHPV has been iden...