Evacuation behaviors in tsunami drills

Chen, Chen; Mostafizi, Alireza; Wang, Haizhong; Cox, Dan; Cramer, Lori A.

doi:10.1007/s11069-022-05208-y

Cited by 17 publications

(3 citation statements)

References 66 publications

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“…Mathematical models represent one of the standard approaches to examining patterns of group behavior. On the other hand, approaches based on real observations and experiments, e.g., during evacuation drills (Chen et al 2022 ) provide valuable data that can be used to tune the parameters of computer models. These models, in turn, enable massive in silico testing of alternative scenarios, including extremely rare or risky ones.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Agent-based models of human response to natural hazards: systematic review of tsunami evacuation

et al. 2022

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This systematic review provides a comprehensive overview of tsunami evacuation models. The review covers scientific studies from the last decade (2012–2021) and is explicitly focused on models using an agent-based approach. The PRISMA methodology was used to analyze 171 selected papers, resulting in over 53 studies included in the detailed full-text analysis. This review is divided into two main parts: (1) a descriptive analysis of the presented models (focused on the modeling tools, validation, and software platform used, etc.), and (2) model analysis (e.g., model purpose, types of agents, input and output data, and modeled area). Special attention was given to the features of these models specifically associated with an agent-based approach. The results lead to the conclusion that the research domain of agent-based tsunami evacuation models is quite narrow and specialized, with a high degree of variability in the model attributes and properties. At the same time, the application of agent-specific methodologies, protocols, organizational paradigms, or standards is sparse. Supplementary Information The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11069-022-05643-x.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Agent-based models of human response to natural hazards: systematic review of tsunami evacuation

et al. 2022

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“…Several authors [25,55,96] referred to evacuation planning, and understanding behavior under such circumstances in future studies would contribute to the resilience literature in practical ways.…”

Section: Conclusion and Opportunities For Further Researchmentioning

confidence: 99%

Research Trends in Resilience and Vulnerability Studies

Atkinson

2023

Encyclopedia

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While the definition of resilience is disputed or even fuzzy, due in no small part to the diversity of its applications, the concept generally involves the ability to withstand and bounce back from shocks; vulnerability as a related concept involves the tendency to suffer from shocks, given existing characteristics that may prevent resilient responses. Vulnerabilities put individuals, groups, and societies at greater risk and disadvantage, suggesting a need not only for disaster response and recovery, but mitigation and preparedness. Resilience and vulnerability research has recently focused on the role of government, the COVID-19 pandemic, and flood hazards; topics of interest have also included resilience of rural and urban areas, development and sustainability, and displacement and migration.

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“…The findings not only aid in understanding the tsunami evacuation modelling, but also provide better insight for decision makers and emergency planners in coastal communities. Noted that although socioenvironmental and demographic variables for both nearfield and far-field tsunamis are beyond the scope of this paper, there are several studies for the reference (e.g., Buylova et al 2020;Chen et al 2021Chen et al , 2022Demuth et al 2016;Lindell and Perry 2011).…”

mentioning

confidence: 99%

Methodology to incorporate seismic damage and debris to evaluate strategies to reduce life safety risk for multi-hazard earthquake and tsunami

et al. 2023

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This paper presents a methodology to evaluate life safety risk of coastal communities vulnerable to seismic and tsunami hazards. The work explicitly incorporates two important aspects in tsunami evacuation modeling: (1) the effect of earthquake-induced damage to buildings on building egress time, (2) the effect of earthquake-induced debris on horizontal evacuation time. The city of Seaside, Oregon, is selected as a testbed community. The hazard is based on a megathrust earthquake and tsunami from the Cascadia Subduction Zone that was defined in a previous study. The built environment consists of buildings and the transportation network for the city. Fragility analysis is used to estimate the seismic damage to buildings and resulting debris that covers portions of the road network. The horizontal evacuation time is determined based on the shortest path to shelters, including the increased travel time due to the earthquake-generated debris. The effects of different mitigation strategies are quantified. Results indicate the fatality and life safety risk of a near-field tsunami increases by 4.2 to 8.3 times when the effects of building egress and earthquake-induced debris are considered. The choice of population layer affects the life safety risk and thus the maximum risk is obtained when daytime populations are considered. Use of mitigation strategies result in a significant decrease in the number of fatalities. For hazards with recurrence intervals larger than 500-years, the vertical evacuation is the most effective strategy in reducing fatalities and associated risks. Implementing all mitigation strategies reduces the life safety risk by 90%.

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Evacuation behaviors in tsunami drills

Cited by 17 publications

References 66 publications

Agent-based models of human response to natural hazards: systematic review of tsunami evacuation

Agent-based models of human response to natural hazards: systematic review of tsunami evacuation

Research Trends in Resilience and Vulnerability Studies

Methodology to incorporate seismic damage and debris to evaluate strategies to reduce life safety risk for multi-hazard earthquake and tsunami

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