2019
DOI: 10.1002/acp.3519
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Evaluating scientific research: Belief, hindsight bias, ethics, and research evaluation

Abstract: Students may exhibit two forms of cognitive biases, belief and hindsight bias, in evaluating a scientific experiment. Counter to disagreement, they may only believe an outcome that agrees with their belief to be more predictable in hindsight than foresight. The focus of this research is on the relationship between these biases.Students were queried about their dichotomous beliefs (learned vs. genetic) about behavior for an animal experiment and then assigned randomly to a no-outcome or genetic outcome conditio… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications
(1 citation statement)
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“…This partly explains the variation in formal assessment criteria across disciplinary contexts, career stages and history (Mantai and Marrone 2023). Moreover, decisions are also made by groups and individuals, and objectivity in decision-making is hence at risk from the social (Bornmann, Mutz, and Daniel 2007;Wennerås and Wold 1997;Ginther et al 2011;Teplitskiy et al 2018), political (Wennerås and Wold 1997;Altbach, Yudkevich, and Rumbley 2015;Torrance 2016) and cognitive (Hom Jr. and Van Nuland 2019;East 2016;Juárez Ramos 2019) biases and preferences of evaluators. Furthermore, although reliance on quantitative indicators may have the veil of objectivity, they too are fundamentally affected by biases, either those baked into the metrics (Strathern 2000;Islam and Greenwood 2022), or those of the assessors using the metrics (Hammarfelt and Rushforth 2017).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…This partly explains the variation in formal assessment criteria across disciplinary contexts, career stages and history (Mantai and Marrone 2023). Moreover, decisions are also made by groups and individuals, and objectivity in decision-making is hence at risk from the social (Bornmann, Mutz, and Daniel 2007;Wennerås and Wold 1997;Ginther et al 2011;Teplitskiy et al 2018), political (Wennerås and Wold 1997;Altbach, Yudkevich, and Rumbley 2015;Torrance 2016) and cognitive (Hom Jr. and Van Nuland 2019;East 2016;Juárez Ramos 2019) biases and preferences of evaluators. Furthermore, although reliance on quantitative indicators may have the veil of objectivity, they too are fundamentally affected by biases, either those baked into the metrics (Strathern 2000;Islam and Greenwood 2022), or those of the assessors using the metrics (Hammarfelt and Rushforth 2017).…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%