Evaluating the Urban Expansion of Silifke (Mersin) District with a Focus on Green Spaces: The 2050 Projection

Abstract

The aim of this study is to provide a framework for spatial planning aimed at creating resilient cities through land change trends from the past to the future (1990-2020-2050). Additionally, it aims to guide planning strategies by highlighting the current and future status of urban green areas. In this context, the trends for 2050 were evaluated in terms of green area requirements, using the Silifke example. Most of the development areas in Adana-Mersin RegionalPlan are expected to be built. All of these areas consist of agricultural (202 ha) and bare lands (46 ha). It is estimated that by 2050, the populations of Silifke-Taşucu-Kum Neighborhood will be 102,923 and 24,815, respectively. According to spatial planning regulations, the minimum green area within the 2050 urban plan boundaries should be 1,029,230 m² and 248,150 m², respectively. Consequently, decision-makers are expected to determine green area strategies guided by these findings in spatial planning studies.