2021
DOI: 10.3390/w13050615
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Evaluating Vulnerability of Central Asian Water Resources under Uncertain Climate and Development Conditions: The Case of the Ili-Balkhash Basin

Abstract: The Ili-Balkhash basin (IBB) is considered a key region for agricultural development and international transport as part of China’s Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). The IBB is exemplary for the combined challenge of climate change and shifts in water supply and demand in transboundary Central Asian closed basins. To quantify future vulnerability of the IBB to these changes, we employ a scenario-neutral bottom-up approach with a coupled hydrological-water resource modelling set-up on the RiverWare modelling plat… Show more

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Cited by 19 publications
(15 citation statements)
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“…The Caspian Sea, for example, bordered just two countries during most of the twentieth century but now shares a coastline with five sovereign nations, each with its own priorities for the use of this shared water resource [135,149]. China's spectacular economic growth has also dramatically stimulated the economy in the upper Ili River basin; new dams are being built, and withdrawals of water for irrigation and industrial use are reducing flows into Kazakhstan [28,150,151].…”
Section: Water and Other Natural Resourcesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The Caspian Sea, for example, bordered just two countries during most of the twentieth century but now shares a coastline with five sovereign nations, each with its own priorities for the use of this shared water resource [135,149]. China's spectacular economic growth has also dramatically stimulated the economy in the upper Ili River basin; new dams are being built, and withdrawals of water for irrigation and industrial use are reducing flows into Kazakhstan [28,150,151].…”
Section: Water and Other Natural Resourcesmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The budget of the latter is USD 46 million, including contributions from national governments. Furthermore, the law on renewable energy was adopted in 2021 (CIS Legislation, 2021 [109]). This new law includes green tariffs and other advanced approaches and principles on preferences/privileges to support the development of renewables, elaborates legal, institutional, financial and other terms for renewable energy producers (and services) in Turkmenistan, and outlines procedures of interaction with the state energy agency.…”
Section: Key Data and Informationmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Recent analysis of land-use cover change also reveals the expansion of irrigated cropland in the Chinese part of the basin (Qi et al, 2019). As such, future scenarios for the Ili basin are shown to be highly dependent on the extent to which China continues to develop agriculture upstream (De Boer et al, 2021).…”
Section: Physical Impacts Of the Sreb/brimentioning
confidence: 99%