Evaluation of the future supply and demand for blood products in the United Kingdom National Health Service

Background: Demographic trends affect size and age structure of populations. One of the consequences will be an increasing need for blood products to treat age-related diseases. Donation services rely on voluntariness and charitable motivation. It might be questioned whether there will be sufficient blood supply with voluntary donation. The present study focused on elicitation of preferences for incentives and aimed to contribute to the discussion on how to increase donation rates. Methods: A self-administered discrete choice experiment (DCE) was applied. Respondents were repeatedly asked to choose between hypothetical blood donation centers. In case of reluctance to receiving incentives a none-option was included. Random parameter logit (RPL) and latent class models (LCM) were used for analysis. Results: The study sample included 416 college students from the US and Germany. Choice decisions were significantly influenced by the characteristics of the donation center in the DCE. Incentives most preferred were monetary compensation, paid leave, and blood screening test. LCM identified subgroups with preference heterogeneity. Small subgroups indicated moderate to strong aversion to incentives. Conclusion: The majority of the sample positively responded to incentives and indicated a willingness to accept incentives. In face of future challenges, the judicious use and appropriate utilization of incentives might be an option to motivate potential donors and should be open to discussion.

Section: Background and Policy Contextmentioning

confidence: 99%

Incentives for Blood Donation: A Discrete Choice Experiment to Analyze Extrinsic Motivation

Sadler

Shi

Bethge

et al. 2018

“…In 2004, for Wales, Currie et al [9] calculated the future increase in blood demand based on the analysis of inpatients of two major hospitals in Wales based on the data of the year 1999. They found an increasing trend with age, with around 9% of inpatients over the age of 70 years requiring a transfusion compared to approximately 1% of patients under the age of 30.…”

Section: Zusammenfassungmentioning

confidence: 99%

Demographic Changes: The Impact for Safe Blood Supply

Greinacher

Fendrich

Hoffmann

2010

The population structure in most European countries is currently changing, with a shift from younger to older age groups. Only sparse data exist on the impact of these demographic changes on future blood demand and supply. Data on blood recipients are sparse and unconnected to data on blood donors. The first part of this review summarizes studies on the effect of the demographic change on blood supply and demand. With respect to studies in North America and Europe on the impact of demographic changes on future blood supply, the demographic trends will affect many regions in the Western world similarly. These effects are most pronounced in the new member states of the European Union where birth rates declined abruptly after 1989. Coordinated efforts will be required to prevent blood shortages based upon these demographic trends in Western societies. The second part of this review is an overview of methodological approaches to obtain data on the sociodemographic background of the blood donor population.

“…Although the supply of blood products has been satisfactory in the US up until now, several reports predict shortages, especially of red blood cell (RBC) concentrates, until 2030 [7], a previous study from the UK rather estimates a stable supply/demand ratio for the next 20 years [8]. However, in Germany, despite distinct regional differences, the overall blood donor population has already started to shrink since 2015 and is estimated to decrease by 25-33% until 2060 [9].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Changes in the Whole Blood Donor Population in South-West Germany: 2010 versus 2016

Müller‐Steinhardt

Weidmann

Klüter

2017

Background: In the recent past, the discrepancy between blood supply and future demand may have been overestimated. As medical progress develops rapidly, it will be essential to monitor ongoing demographic changes in the donor population regularly and to re-evaluate retention and recruiting strategies. The aim of the current study was to compare first-time donor (FTD) characteristics and their return rates. We therefore compared whole blood (WB) donations in total and the annual donation frequencies in 2010 and in 2015/2016. Furthermore, we evaluated whether over the same observation period, medical reasons for deferral underwent a change (2010 vs. 2015). Methods: The return probability of FTD within 12 months was analysed in 2010 and 2015 with respect to successful donation versus deferral and with regard to age. The total number of WB donations was investigated, and age distribution was compared between 2010, 2013 and 2016. WB donation frequencies were calculated with respect to age and gender in 2010 and 2016. In a second analysis, medical reasons for deferral were differentiated into 14 categories and a possible impact of time (2010 vs. 2015) on the respective percentage was studied. Results: We observed a significant decline of the FTD return rate from 42.5% to 38.8% in donors that successfully donated WB while the rate remained unchanged in deferred FTD. At the same time the mean FTD age decreased from 29.1 ± 11.6 to 28.5 ± 11.7 years in 2016. Analysis of total WB donations revealed an increase of all donations from donors ≥60 years, a constant percentage from donors <30 years but a declining proportion of donors aged 30-59 years from 2010 to 2013 to 2016. In parallel, annual mean WB donation frequencies decreased over time. Deferrals due to travel history increased significantly from 2010 to 2015 both in FTD and repeat donors. Conclusion: There is ongoing demographic change in our WB donor population. Our data prove a need for a re-evaluation of retention and recruitment strategies since previous marketing campaigns seem to have neglected the age group 30-59 years. This must be addressed in further studies as this age group will be highly relevant for assuring future blood supplies since donor recruitment from adolescents will be limited due to declining birth rates. Furthermore, deferral due to travel history is increasing significantly. Thus we will require further studies on the possible impact on donor retention.