2004
DOI: 10.1111/j.1748-7692.2004.tb01190.x
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Evidence for Increases in Antarctic Blue Whales Based on Bayesian Modelling

Abstract: Antarctic blue whales (Balaenoptera musculus intermedia) are the largest and formerly most abundant blue whale subspecies, but were hunted to near extinction last century. Estimated whaling mortality was unsustainable from 1928 to 1972 (except during 1942–1944), depleting them from 239,000 (95% interval 202,000–311,000) to a low of 360 (150–840) in 1973. Obtaining statistical evidence for subsequent increases has proved difficult due to their scarcity. We fitted Bayesian models to three sighting series (1968–2… Show more

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Cited by 170 publications
(208 citation statements)
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“…The relatively high encounter rate of minke whales (SR = 0.031) suggests that this species is far more abundant than any other large whale species off northeastern Brazil. This was expected considering that minke whale density indices had not decreased in the area during whaling (DA ROCHA 1983, OHSUMI & MYASHITA 1987 and it is well known that other species have been severely depleted by whaling (CLAPHAM et al 1999, PERRY et al 1999, BRANCH et al 2004.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The relatively high encounter rate of minke whales (SR = 0.031) suggests that this species is far more abundant than any other large whale species off northeastern Brazil. This was expected considering that minke whale density indices had not decreased in the area during whaling (DA ROCHA 1983, OHSUMI & MYASHITA 1987 and it is well known that other species have been severely depleted by whaling (CLAPHAM et al 1999, PERRY et al 1999, BRANCH et al 2004.…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Southern right whales Eubalaena australis, Western Arctic bowhead whales Balaena mysticetus ( Figure 2a) and Northeast Pacific gray whales Eschrichtius robustus], whereas others remained at low population levels [25,33,34]. In 1986, the International Whaling Commission expanded the commercial whaling moratorium to all great whales, leading to increases in other species, such as sperm Physeter macrocephalus [35] and blue whales Balaenoptera musculus [36]. Similarly, several populations of pinnipeds and other marine mammals started to increase after the hunting for fur, skin, blubber, ivory or bounty was either prohibited or reduced [3] (Anna M. Magera, MSc thesis, Dalhousie University, 2011).…”
Section: Marine Mammalsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In addition, more research is needed on the mechanisms that link the physical variables to ecological processes. Beyond that there is a need to consider ecological scenarios, including the effects of the recovery of over-exploited baleen whale populations (Branch et al, 2004;Noad et al, 2011;Tulloch et al, 2017) toward fully integrated system understanding. Future fishery scenarios are also required to explore how demand may change over time.…”
Section: Future Workmentioning
confidence: 99%