Evolution of plant–pollinator mutualisms in response to climate change

Gilman, R. Tucker; Fabina, Nicholas S.; Abbott, Karen C.; Rafferty, Nicole E.

doi:10.1111/j.1752-4571.2011.00202.x

Cited by 55 publications

(49 citation statements)

References 138 publications

(228 reference statements)

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“…Climate change may alter such cues, resulting in dramatic shifts in flowering time (Springer et al, 2008;Wahl et al, 2013). If plants and their pollinators differ in their environmental sensitivities, then climate change could induce asynchronous phenologies, which could modify patterns of gene flow (Elzinga et al, 2007), alter coevolutionary dynamics between pollinators and plants (Gilman et al, 2012), reduce seed production (Forrest, 2015), and limit resource availability for pollinators (Memmott et al, 2007; but see Forrest and Thomson, 2011). Predicting the extent of temporal asynchrony under future climates will require physiological studies that determine the specific environmental cues that elicit life history transitions in plants and pollinators.…”

Section: Plant-pollinator Interactionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Examining plant physiological responses to climate change through an evolutionary lens

et al. 2016

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Section: Plant-pollinator Interactionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Examining plant physiological responses to climate change through an evolutionary lens

et al. 2016

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“…These populations are projected to contract with increased CO 2 levels and increased temperatures; however, some new habitats may become available (Dole et al, 2003). Decoupling plant-insect interactions via phenological changes or changes in distribution has the potential to become severe enough to result in extinction events of insect and plant taxa or both (Gilman et al, 2012).…”

Section: Plant-insect Interactionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Population-level genetic variation and climate change in a biodiversity hotspot

Schierenbeck

2017

Ann Bot

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Introduction Estimated future climate scenarios can be used to predict where hotspots of endemism may occur over the next century, but life history, ecological and genetic traits will be important in informing the varying responses within myriad taxa. Essential to predicting the consequences of climate change to individual species will be an understanding of the factors that drive genetic structure within and among populations. Here, I review the factors that influence the genetic structure of plant species in California, but are applicable elsewhere; existing levels of genetic variation, life history and ecological characteristics will affect the ability of an individual taxon to persist in the presence of anthropogenic change.Factors influencing the distribution of genetic variation Persistence in the face of climate change is likely determined by life history characteristics: dispersal ability, generation time, reproductive ability, degree of habitat specialization, plant-insect interactions, existing genetic diversity and availability of habitat or migration corridors. Existing levels of genetic diversity in plant populations vary based on a number of evolutionary scenarios that include endemism, expansion since the last glacial maximum, breeding system and current range sizes.Regional priorities and examples A number of well-documented examples are provided from the California Floristic Province. Some predictions can be made for the responses of plant taxa to rapid environmental changes based on geographic position, evolutionary history, existing genetic variation, and ecological amplitude.Conclusions, Solutions and Recommendations The prediction of how species will respond to climate change will require a synthesis drawing from population genetics, geography, palaeontology and ecology. The important integration of the historical factors that have shaped the distribution and existing genetic structure of California's plant taxa will enable us to predict and prioritize the conservation of species and areas most likely to be impacted by rapid climate change, human disturbance and invasive species.

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“…Understanding these thresholds will help researchers to identify those mutualisms at highest 1428 risk owing to climate change (Gilman et al, 2012). 1429…”

Section: Geographical Range Shifts 1153mentioning

confidence: 99%

The implications of climate change for positive contributions of invertebrates to world agriculture.

Cock¹,

Biesmeijer²,

Cannon³

et al. 2013

CABI Reviews

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Terrestrial invertebrate species play a dominant role in the trophic dynamics of agricultural ecosystems. Subtle changes in the composition of communities and species interactions at different trophic levels, and role of ecosystem engineers can dramatically modify the effects of invertebrates on plant productivity in agricultural systems. The effect of climate change on relevant invertebrates in agricultural systems, and their potential to adapt or move is discussed. All terrestrial systems (including forestry and pasture) are considered, although the main focus is on crop production systems. Our treatise centres on whole organisms (as opposed to genetic information from invertebrates) that play key roles in agricultural systems. We start with an overview of current thinking on how climate change may affect invertebrates. Then, recognizing the great invertebrate biodiversity associated with agro-ecosystems, the review focuses on three key groups - soil invertebrates, biological control agents and pollinators. A variety of research gaps became apparent during the course of our review. Specific conclusions regarding the impact of climate change on particular elements of invertebrate genetic resources in agriculture are not possible yet. Existing evidence suggests that three general assumptions can be made. First, it is probable that climate change will disrupt to varying degrees the role and use of invertebrates in agriculture, especially sustainable agriculture, even though the precise nature of the disruptions is not yet known. Second, without intervention, these disruptions will result in production losses particularly in sustainable agriculture, even though the scale and extent of the losses is not yet known. Third, the extent of some of the losses will justify intervention to facilitate adaptations of the invertebrates, even though the methods with which to intervene and policies to facilitate this intervention are not yet in place.

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Evolution of plant–pollinator mutualisms in response to climate change

Cited by 55 publications

References 138 publications

Examining plant physiological responses to climate change through an evolutionary lens

Examining plant physiological responses to climate change through an evolutionary lens

Population-level genetic variation and climate change in a biodiversity hotspot

The implications of climate change for positive contributions of invertebrates to world agriculture.

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