Hepatocyte intrinsic clearance (CLint) and
methods of
in vitro–in vivo extrapolation (IVIVE) are often used to predict
plasma clearance (CLp) in drug discovery. While the prediction
success of this approach is dependent on the chemotype, specific molecular
properties and drug design features that govern these outcomes are
poorly understood. To address this challenge, we investigated the
success of prospective mouse CLp IVIVE across 2142 chemically
diverse compounds. Dilution scaling, which assumes that the free fraction
in hepatocyte incubations (f
u,inc) is
governed by binding to the 10% of serum in the incubation medium,
was used as our default CLp IVIVE approach. Results show
that predictions of CLp are better for smaller (molecular
weight (MW) < 500 Da), less polar (total polar surface area (TPSA)
< 100 Å2, hydrogen bond donor (HBD) ≤1,
hydrogen bond acceptor (HBA) ≤ 6), lipophilic (log D > 3), and neutral compounds, with low HBD count playing
the key role. If compounds are classified according to their chemical
space, predictions were good for compounds resembling central nervous
system (CNS) drugs [average absolute fold error (AAFE) of 2.05, average
fold error (AFE) of 0.90], moderate for classical druglike compounds
(according to Lipinski, Veber, and Ghose guidelines; AAFE of 2.55;
AFE of 0.68), and poor for nonclassical “beyond the rule of
5” compounds (AAFE of 3.31; AFE of 0.41). From the perspective
of measured druglike properties, predictions of CLp were
better for compounds with moderate-to-high hepatocyte CLint (>10 μL/min/106 cells), high passive cellular
permeability
(P
app > 100 nm/s), and moderate observed
CLp (5–50 mL/min/kg). Influences of plasma protein
binding (f
u,p) and P-glycoprotein (Pgp)
apical efflux ratio (AP-ER) were less pronounced. If the extended
clearance classification system (ECCS) is applied, predictions were
good for class 2 (P
app > 50 nm/s; neutral
or basic; AAFE of 2.35; AFE of 0.70) and acceptable for class 1A compounds
(AAFE of 2.98; AFE of 0.70). Classes 1B, 3 A/B, and 4 showed poor
outcomes (AAFE > 3.80; AFE < 0.60). Functional groups trending
toward weaker CLp IVIVE were esters, carbamates, sulfonamides,
carboxylic acids, ketones, primary and secondary amines, primary alcohols,
oxetanes, and compounds liable to aldehyde oxidase metabolism, likely
due to multifactorial reasons. Multivariate analysis showed that multiple
properties are relevant, combining together to define the overall
success of CLp IVIVE. Our results indicate that the current
practice of prospective CLp IVIVE is suitable only for
CNS-like compounds and well-behaved classical druglike space (e.g.,
high permeability or ECCS class 2) without challenging functional
groups. Unfortunately, based on existing mouse data, prospective CLp IVIVE for complex and nonclassical chemotypes is poor and
hardly better than random guessing. This is likely due to complexities
such as extrahepatic metabolism and transporter-mediated disposition
which are poorly captured by this methodology. With small-molecule
drug discover...