Exchange-traded Funds in India Amid COVID-19 Crisis: An Empirical Analysis of the Performance

Abstract

Since their inception in 2002, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) in India have made significant progress. The lacklustre record of active investing and the dual benefits of low-cost diversification have elevated the asset class’s credibility. During the COVID-19 crisis, equities ETFs have demonstrated greater resilience than other investment options. Our examination of 35 ETFs that mirror broader indices indicates the performance of Indian ETFs amid the economic shock caused by COVID-19. A comprehensive analysis of the daily NAV, trading price, and benchmark price data from 2015 to the present, post-identification of the pandemic period, indicates three significant inferences: First, tracking errors persist, with significant increases in all three tracking measures throughout the COVID-19 period. Second, during the COVID-19 period, the existence of pricing inefficiencies transitions from discount to premium, with an average daily value of 57.485. Nonetheless, the rate of short-term disequilibrium corrections accelerates dramatically during the COVID-19 phase. Thirdly, it took only eight days during COVID-19 to erase 50% of the disequilibrium between NAV and market price, compared to 170 days before COVID-19. During the COVID-19 era, we also notice a rise in the co-integration between ETF returns and benchmark performance and an increase in the adjustment rate from 18% to 61% per unit of time. The research findings provide portfolio managers and regulators with a comprehensive view of the performance of ETFs before and after an economic shock and offer educational benefits to a growing investor base.