Expectations, Rivalries, and Civil War Duration

Akcinaroglu, Seden; Radziszewski, Elizabeth

doi:10.1080/03050620500303449

Cited by 54 publications

(50 citation statements)

References 18 publications

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“…Elbadawi and Sambanis (2000) found that expected third-party interventions worsen conflicts. 3 Akcinaroglu and Radziszewski (2005) also reach a similar conclusion in their empirical work. And as Wagner (2007, p. 229) has observed: "expectations about possible interventions may play a role in motivating an internal conflict even if outsiders never intervene in it."…”

Section: Reads: "This Piece Provides a Critique Of The Moral-hazard Tsupporting

confidence: 77%

On Third-Party Intervention in Conflicts: An Economist's View

Amegashie

2011

Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy

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Brought to you by | Oakland University Authenticated Download Date | 6/9/15 3:47 AM 1 See Blattman and Miguel (2010) and Collier and Hoeffler (2007) for surveys of the literature. 2 Favretto (2009) studies a model that examines both mediation and military intervention. Dixon (1996) found that mediation efforts and third-party activities to open or maintain lines of communication are the most effective to resolving conflicts.

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Section: Reads: "This Piece Provides a Critique Of The Moral-hazard Tsupporting

confidence: 77%

On Third-Party Intervention in Conflicts: An Economist's View

Amegashie

2011

Peace Economics, Peace Science and Public Policy

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“…Similarly inconsistent findings have been presented for ethnic fractionalization and population (Licklider 1995; Regan 2002; Collier et al. 2004; Fearon 2004; Akcinaroglu and Radziszewski 2005; Cunningham 2006).…”

mentioning

confidence: 73%

“…2 For instance, Regan (2002) finds that the severity of fighting leads to longer civil wars, Regan and Aydin (2006) and Balch-Lindsay and Enterline (2000) find the opposite, and Fearon (2004) presents an insignificant finding. Similarly inconsistent findings have been presented for ethnic fractionalization and population (Licklider 1995;Regan 2002;Collier et al 2004;Fearon 2004;Akcinaroglu and Radziszewski 2005;Cunningham 2006 International Studies Quarterly (2012) 56, 307-321 civil war duration. First, private information and incentives to misrepresent capabilities make it difficult for the competing actors to see eye-to-eye about an acceptable agreement.…”

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confidence: 86%

Information, Commitment, and Intra-War Bargaining: The Effect of Governmental Constraints on Civil War Duration1

Thyne

2012

International Studies Quarterly

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Thyne, Clayton L. (2012) Information, Commitment, and Intra‐War Bargaining: The Effect of Governmental Constraints on Civil War Duration. International Studies Quarterly, doi: 10.1111/j.1468‐2478.2012.00719.x  © 2012 International Studies Association This article considers how governmental variations affect the duration of civil conflicts. Recent work suggests that war termination is likely when competing actors gain information about the power balance and are able to credibly commit to war‐ending agreements. I focus on how the strength and stability of executives impact these factors. Regarding information, power consolidation within the government reduces the number of people who must agree on a settlement, which should shorten civil conflicts. Stable leadership should likewise shorten conflicts by making it harder for potential spoilers to derail war‐ending agreements, helping minimize credibility problems. This argument is tested by examining how variations in institutional design (executive constitutional and legislative power), political strength (ideological fragmentation and polarization), and stability (leadership tenure) affect the duration of civil conflicts from 1946 to 2004. The results suggest that powerful and stable executives are indeed well equipped to end civil conflicts.

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“…Others have noted that the 2001 Albanian uprising in Macedonia followed in the wake of efforts to provide greater accommodation and inclusion to the country's Albanian minority, which proved ineffective in curtailing the influence of previous fighters drawing inspiration from the perceived effectiveness of violent rebellion in Kosovo (Phillips 2004). Several scholars have found evidence that civil wars with outside support tend to be longer than other civil wars, which may be due to either simply extending resources to fight for an actor or the added complexity to find a solution to the conflict when the number of additional parties grows (Akcinaroglu and Radziszewski 2005;Cunningham 2010;Salehyan et al 2011). Even peace agreements in civil wars may be difficult to sustain without cooperation from neighboring countries, but a more favorable regional environment can facilitate peace (Gleditsch 2007).…”

Section: The Transnational Causes Of Civil Warsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Civil War from a Transnational Perspective

Gleditsch¹

2017

Oxford Research Encyclopedia of Politics

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Summary: Civil war is the dominant form of armed conflict in the contemporary international system, and most severe lethal armed conflicts in the post-Cold War era have been civil rather than interstate. Still, it would misleading to see these conflicts as purely domestic, as many contemporary civil wars such as Syria display clear transnational characteristics, including inspirations from events in other countries, links to actors in other countries, as well as often international interventions. Moreover, civil wars often have important implications for other states, including security concerns and economic impacts.This chapter reviews the growth and core findings in the literature focusing on the transnational dimensions of civil war. I focus in particular on how factors outside a particular state can influence the risk of conflict within states as well as some of the central consequences of domestic conflict for other states or relations between states. I conclude that this line of research has helped expand our understanding of both civil conflict and interstate war, and that a comparative focus on varieties conflict and attention to the possible transnational dimensions of civil war deserve a prominent role in future research.

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Expectations, Rivalries, and Civil War Duration

Cited by 54 publications

References 18 publications

On Third-Party Intervention in Conflicts: An Economist's View

On Third-Party Intervention in Conflicts: An Economist's View

Information, Commitment, and Intra-War Bargaining: The Effect of Governmental Constraints on Civil War Duration1

Civil War from a Transnational Perspective

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