2017
DOI: 10.1111/cdev.12977
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Expecting the Unexpected? Expectations for Future Success Among Adolescent First‐Time Offenders

Abstract: Adolescent first‐time offenders demonstrate greater risk of continued offending, justice system contact, and high school dropout. The current study evaluates if optimistic expectations protect youth by reducing offending and improving school grades for 3 years following a first arrest (N = 1,165, Mage = 15.29). This article also considers whether improved behavior raises expectations about the future and uses autoregressive latent trajectory modeling with structured residuals to examine the within‐person cross… Show more

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Cited by 11 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…Within this same analysis, because police bias exhibited a quadratic growth trend, we specified a quadratic growth curve model for police bias that was also regressed on all covariates. Following prior literature (Mahler et al 2018; Shulman et al, 2017), we examined the correlations between the police legitimacy and police bias growth factors to determine the extent to which their growth was interdependent.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Within this same analysis, because police bias exhibited a quadratic growth trend, we specified a quadratic growth curve model for police bias that was also regressed on all covariates. Following prior literature (Mahler et al 2018; Shulman et al, 2017), we examined the correlations between the police legitimacy and police bias growth factors to determine the extent to which their growth was interdependent.…”
Section: Resultsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…The authors point out that the tools displayed are merely examples and should not be seen to be the 'only solution', nor to be unsuited to other tasks. There are many other models which can be used when hypotheses examine within-person change, for example the auto-regressive latent trajectory model with structured residuals (Mahler, Fine, Frick, Steinberg and Cauffman (2018), or latent class modeling (Lanza and Cooper 2016).…”
Section: Insert Figure 2 Herementioning
confidence: 99%
“…Recent data suggests that first-time adolescent offenders who subsequently partake in less crime tend to develop improved expectations, and those with higher expectations commit fewer crimes (49). Thus, investigation of cognitive treatments for this population are imperative.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%