“…Lee et al, 2009), many studies have considered possible strategies to reduce contrail formation in the future, for example by developments to engine technology Haglind, 2008) or by changing aircraft altitude (Williams et al, 2002;Fichter et al, 2005;Mannstein et al, 2005;Rädel and Shine, 2008;Schumann et al, 2011;Deuber et al, 2013) or route (Sridhar et al, 2013;Irvine et al, 2014b;Soler et al, 2014;Zou et al, 2015) to avoid flying through ISS regions. In addition, it is likely that contrail formation will become more frequent due to increased air traffic, and the introduction of newer, more efficient engines, which consume less fuel but allow contrail formation to occur at higher temperatures and thus over a wider range of cruise altitudes than at present (Schumann, 2000;Schumann et al, 2000;Marquart et al, 2003). Using projected future air traffic scenarios, including an increase in engine propulsion efficiency, but with a present-day climate, Gierens et al (1999) projected that global-mean contrail cover would increase by a factor of between 3 and 9 by 2050 (depending on the scenario used) relative to 1992.…”