2020
DOI: 10.3389/fpsyg.2020.502751
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Explaining Away, Augmentation, and the Assumption of Independence

Abstract: In reasoning about situations in which several causes lead to a common effect, a much studied and yet still not well-understood inference is that of explaining away. Assuming that the causes contribute independently to the effect, if we learn that the effect is present, then this increases the probability that one or more of the causes are present. But if we then learn that a particular cause is present, this cause "explains" the presence of the effect, and the probabilities of the other causes decrease again.… Show more

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Cited by 2 publications
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