Explaining upper secondary school dropout: new evidence on the role of local labor markets

Simson, Kristine von

doi:10.1007/s00181-014-0829-3

Cited by 15 publications

(11 citation statements)

References 23 publications

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“…While compulsory schooling and child labor laws have shifted the school-to-work transition to later ages, industries still interact with schooling through opportunity costs and returns to education (Montmarquette, Viennot-Briot, and Dagenais, 2007;Murnane, 2013;von Simson, 2015;Stinebrickner and Stinebrickner, 2014). The industrial composition of a region could influence youths' education decisions through parental or neighborhood information channels.…”

Section: Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

Industrial Composition and Educational Intergenerational Mobility

Whitaker

2020

Working Paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland)

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Using the National Longitudinal Surveys of Youth (NLSY), this article examines the influence of a region's industrial composition on the educational attainment of children raised by parents who do not have college degrees. The NLSY's geo-coded panel allows for precise measurements of the local industries that shaped the parents' employment opportunities and the labor market that the children directly observed. For cohorts finishing school in the 1990s and early 2000s, concentrations of manufacturing are positively associated with both high school and college attainment. Concentrations of college-degree intensive industries are positively associated with college attainment. I investigate several potential mechanisms that could relate the industrial composition to educational attainment, including returns to education, opportunity costs, parental inputs, community resources, and information.

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Section: Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

Industrial Composition and Educational Intergenerational Mobility

Whitaker

2020

Working Paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland)

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“…While compulsory schooling and child labor laws have shifted the work-school transition to later ages, industries still interact with schooling through opportunity costs and returns to education (Montmarquette et al, 2007;Murnane, 2013;von Simson, 2015;Stinebrickner and Stinebrickner, 2014). The industrial composition of a region could influence youths' education decisions through parental or neighborhood information channels.…”

Section: Literaturementioning

confidence: 99%

Industrial Composition and Intergenerational Mobility

Whitaker

2015

Working Paper (Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland)

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For fi ve decades, the share of adults employed in college-degree-intensive industries, such as health care and education, has been rising. Industries that provided employment for workers without degrees, especially manufacturing, have been reducing their payrolls. This economic transition could impact the probability of children obtaining higher levels of education than their parents achieved. In this analysis, measures of the local industrial composition from the Current Population Survey are merged with the National Longitudinal Surveys of Youth using the confi dential geo-coded records. Living in a labor market with a higher share of adults employed in degree-intensive industries is positively associated with obtaining a college degree among youth whose parents do not have a degree. An additional standard deviation difference in the share of employment in degreeintensive industries corresponds to a 0.02 increase in the probability of ascending to being a college graduate, from a mean of 0.23. For cohorts born in the 1960s, living in a manufacturing-intensive region was negatively correlated with college attainment, but the relationship becomes positive among more recent cohorts. Alternate specifi cations introduce measures of several factors that could relate the industrial composition to educational attainment, including returns to education (wage premiums), opportunity costs (youth employment), parental inputs (family structure, income), community resources (per capita income), information (regional education levels, post-secondary student populations), and networks (parent's employment).

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“…In addition to academic skills, mental health problems are strongly associated with increased risk of dropout[ 11 – 14 ]. Others have reported that completion rates to some degree are explained by labour market characteristics in the corresponding residential region [ 7 , 15 ].…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The impact of completing upper secondary education - a multi-state model for work, education and health in young men

et al. 2018

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BackgroundCompleting upper secondary education is associated with higher work participation and less health-related absence from work. Although these outcomes are closely interrelated, most studies focus on single outcomes, using cross-sectional designs or short follow-up periods. As such, there is limited knowledge of the long-term outcomes, and how paths for completers and non-completers unfold over time. In this paper, we use multi-state models for time-to-event data to assess the long-term effects of completing upper secondary education on employment, tertiary education, sick leave, and disability pension over twelve and a half years for young men.MethodsBaseline covariates and twelve and a half years of follow-up data on employment, tertiary education, sick leave and disability pension were obtained from national registries for all males born in Norway between 1971 and 1976 (n =184951). The effects of completing upper secondary education (by age 23) were analysed in a multi-state framework, adjusting for both individual and family level confounders. All analyses were done separately for general studies and vocational tracks.ResultsCompleters do better on a range of outcomes compared to non-completers, for both fields of upper secondary education, but effects of completion change over time. The largest changes are for tertiary education and work, with the probability of work increasing reciprocally to the probability of education. Vocational students are quicker to transfer to the labour market, but tend to have more unemployment, sick leave and disability, and the absolute effects of completion on these outcomes are largest for vocational tracks. However, the relative effects of completion are larger for general studies.ConclusionCompleting upper secondary education increases long-term work participation and lowers health-related absence for young men, but effects diminish over time. Studies that have used shorter follow-up periods could be overstating the negative effects of dropout on labour market participation. Multi-state models are well suited to analyse data on work, education and health-related absence, and can be useful in understanding the dynamic aspects of these outcomes.

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Explaining upper secondary school dropout: new evidence on the role of local labor markets

Cited by 15 publications

References 23 publications

Industrial Composition and Educational Intergenerational Mobility

Industrial Composition and Educational Intergenerational Mobility

Industrial Composition and Intergenerational Mobility

The impact of completing upper secondary education - a multi-state model for work, education and health in young men

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