Exploring the path of inter-provincial industrial transfer and carbon transfer in China via combination of multi-regional input–output and geographically weighted regression model

Does Industrial Transfer Change the Spatial Structure of CO2 Emissions?—Evidence from Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region in China

“…Whether industrial transfer can promote CO 2 emissions has been controversial in previous studies [ 7 , 17 , 20 ], and more attention has been given to international industrial transfer than to industrial transfer between cities within a country [ 17 ]. Different cities in metropolitan areas have similar policy backgrounds and great opportunities for industrial transfer, so the impact of industrial transfer on CO 2 emissions needs more academic attention [ 15 ].…”

“…Previous literature has paid attention to the change in CO 2 emissions among regions within a country under the background of industrial transfer, but the relationship between the two has not been quantitatively studied [ 14 , 26 ]. Some literature has studied the relationship between them quantitatively, but there is no more detailed analysis of the mechanism [ 15 , 17 ]. The contribution of this article is to analyse such a relationship at the regional and prefecture levels and to explain the mechanism from the perspective of direct effects and indirect effects.…”

“…The economic structure of the area of transfer-out will be optimised, promoting carbon emission reduction, while the area of transfer-in will present high emission characteristics [ 14 , 15 ]. However, there is also a point of view that industrial transfer is not the main premise of carbon emission transfer, and environmental regulation, industry type and technology also play a large role [ 16 , 17 ].…”

“…Therefore, there is still no clear conclusion about the impact of industrial transfer on CO 2 emissions. In the context of international and domestic industrial transfer continuing to increase [ 14 , 17 , 18 ], this issue deserves further study. In addition, most of the existing studies related to industrial transfer have explored the rationality of the international ‘pollution heaven’ hypothesis [ 19 , 20 , 21 , 22 ].…”

“…Meanwhile, most previous studies on the environmental effects of industrial transfer have only clarified the direction of its effect and the time trend, or explored the direct impact and indirect spill-over effects from the perspective of spatial regression [ 7 , 15 , 17 , 21 , 26 , 27 , 28 , 29 , 30 , 31 ]. There are few studies on the internal mechanism.…”