2019
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.3511287
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External Threat, Group Identity, and Support for Common Policies – The Effect of the Russian Invasion in Ukraine on European Union Identity

Abstract: A major theory from social psychology claims that external threats can strengthen group identities and cooperation. This paper exploits the Russian invasion in Ukraine 2014 as a sudden increase in the perceived military threat for eastern European Union member states, in particular for the Baltic countries bordering Russia directly. Comparing low versus high-threat member states in a difference-indifferences design, I find a sizeable positive effect on EU identity. It is associated with higher trust in EU inst… Show more

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Cited by 4 publications
(3 citation statements)
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“…Finally, by considering attitudes towards shifting decision-making to the international level, I relate to the international relations literature on regional integration (Schneider 2017), the political economy of international organizations in general (reviewed in Dreher and Lang 2019) and the EU in particular (Gehring and Schneider 2018), and the impact of IO conditionality (e.g., Carnegie 2014; Dreher 2004; Gehring and Lang 2020). My results complement the existing literature examining EU support (e.g., Gehring 2020; Hooghe and Marks 2004; Marks and Steenbergen 2004; Sánchez-Cuenca 2000) and Euroscepticism (e.g., De Vries 2018). To a large extent, the EU support literature is focused on correlational evidence regarding individual-level attributes or current domestic aspects as explanatory factors.…”
Section: Introductionsupporting
confidence: 80%
“…Finally, by considering attitudes towards shifting decision-making to the international level, I relate to the international relations literature on regional integration (Schneider 2017), the political economy of international organizations in general (reviewed in Dreher and Lang 2019) and the EU in particular (Gehring and Schneider 2018), and the impact of IO conditionality (e.g., Carnegie 2014; Dreher 2004; Gehring and Lang 2020). My results complement the existing literature examining EU support (e.g., Gehring 2020; Hooghe and Marks 2004; Marks and Steenbergen 2004; Sánchez-Cuenca 2000) and Euroscepticism (e.g., De Vries 2018). To a large extent, the EU support literature is focused on correlational evidence regarding individual-level attributes or current domestic aspects as explanatory factors.…”
Section: Introductionsupporting
confidence: 80%
“…The change could be based on the perception of increased external threats or the emotions evoked by winning and losing. The external threat explanation highlights that living in a community that is, in the majority, in opposition to a person's own identity is threatening and, therefore, might invoke a stronger in-group identification (Gehring, 2019;Sen, 2007). Other theories highlight the role of losing and winning (Jong et al, 2015), in which the shock of losing would activate and increase the European identity, creating a sense of community through a shared negative experience.…”
Section: Alternative Explanations and Political Implicationsmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…First, this paper would quote other essays to illustrate some definitions. In Gehring's essay, External threat, Group-Identity, and Support for Common Policies-The Effect of the Russian Invasion in Ukraine on European Union Identity, Gehring mainly focused on the military threat posed by other countries [2].…”
Section: Theoretical Frameworkmentioning
confidence: 99%